Part of: Libema Open, Qualification: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Libema Open, Qualification: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki
This prediction market covers who will advance in the Libema Open qualification match between Alexander Maarten Jong and Shintaro Mochizuki, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 8:10 AM ET. The market resolves by June 13, 2026, based on which player advances, with $2,460 in smart money tracked and 1 recent smart money signal flagged.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Maarten Jong and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Libema Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Maarten Jong' if Alexander Maarten Jong advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Alexander Maarten Jong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,304.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader with a 69% win rate and $387k lifetime profit flipped sides into Alexander Maarten Jong at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 69% of 35,151 resolved trades and is up $387k lifetime.
- They have traded across 489 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- They closed the other side and bought Alexander Maarten Jong at 61¢; the market has already moved to 65¢.
$1,403 on Alexander Maarten Jong | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market history placed a meaningful buy in a relatively quiet tennis qualifier.
- This bettor has won 62% of 1,669 resolved trades and is up $101k lifetime.
- The $2.5k buy was about 56% of recent market volume, showing real conviction in a quieter market.
- Entry at 82¢ implies they see Shintaro Mochizuki as a strong favorite despite already-high market odds.
$2,460 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 62%
80% win-rate sharp
Surfacing because a proven profitable wallet with an 80% record over 896 resolved bets bought Mochizuki on a thin tennis market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $34,060 lifetime.
- They bought Mochizuki at 82¢ in a quiet market where the trade was 54% of daily volume.
- The price has already moved to 85¢, suggesting the market is following their side.
$1,448 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 80%
92% tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with a 92% record and $41k profit bought Mochizuki in a thin market for more than twice prior 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $41,488 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 51 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- The $1,100 buy was over 2x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a thin match market.
$1,100 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor made a large Shintaro Mochizuki buy that dwarfs activity in a very thin tennis market, though the price has since moved against them.
- This bettor has won 69% of 35,124 resolved bets and is up $386k lifetime.
- Their $1.9k buy was about 4x this market’s entire 24h volume, signaling strong conviction in a quiet match market.
- They entered Shintaro at 87¢, while the market is now around 74¢, offering a cheaper follow but with recent adverse movement.
$1,893 on Shintaro Mochizuki | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x154e...fbde — Alexander Maarten Jong, $16,033 (75% win rate)
- 0xb4d2...ce99 — Shintaro Mochizuki, $7,213 (49% win rate)
- 0x86c8...c867 — Shintaro Mochizuki, $3,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Alexander Maarten Jong, $2,281 (69% win rate)
- 0xfeab...9cd0 — Shintaro Mochizuki, $1,847 (35% win rate)
- 0x2903...9203 — Shintaro Mochizuki, $1,766 (80% win rate)
- 0x18de...7c92 — Shintaro Mochizuki, $1,341 (92% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Shintaro Mochizuki, $1,076 (56% win rate)
- 0xe0f6...a5ee — Shintaro Mochizuki, $750 (58% win rate)
- 0x7462...3ac3 — Shintaro Mochizuki, $732 (51% win rate)
Related Theses
No deal by May
Covers 2 related markets
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June
Covers 2 related markets
Rublev beats Mensik
Covers 1 related market
