Part of: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,126.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets backing underdog
High-score coordinated underdog bet led by a 22-for-22 profitable wallet, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- One bettor in this cluster has won 22 straight resolved bets and is up $183k.
- Three wallets put $10.5k on the same Shopify Rebellion upset angle.
- Their entry was around 32¢, but the market has since fallen to 7¢, making this a high-risk live-position signal.
$10,500 on Shopify Rebellion
Profitable serial bettor riding steam
A profitable high-volume bettor bought FlyQuest ahead of a major volume spike and 19-point price move, making this worth surfacing despite the odds already moving up.
- This bettor has won 61% of 1,170 resolved bets and is up $127k lifetime.
- FlyQuest saw a 57x volume spike and its odds jumped 19 points after this flow.
- The bettor entered at 87¢ and the market has already moved to 93¢.
$3,571 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 60%
Five-wallet momentum cluster
Five wallets bought FlyQuest around 67–69¢ ahead of a sharp move to 87¢, backed by a 90x volume spike, though opposing Shopify flow makes it a momentum signal rather than a clean one-sided sharp bet.
- Five wallets bought $8.7k of FlyQuest at 67–69¢ before the price jumped to 87¢.
- Market volume is running 90x above normal, with FlyQuest up 16 points in the past day.
- One buyer is up $192k lifetime, and another has won 76% of resolved bets.
$8,681 on FlyQuest
22-0 bettor on underdog
A 22-0 profitable wallet and two other wallets bought Shopify Rebellion, but the market has since moved sharply against them from 33¢ to 8¢.
- This bettor is 22-for-22 on resolved bets and is up $183k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog side for $16.4k total during a major volume spike.
- The entry was 33¢ and the market is now 8¢, so this is a high-risk contrarian follow.
$1,089 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 95%
New profitable whale backing favorite
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is putting another $8K on FlyQuest, suggesting emerging conviction despite limited history.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already made 6 large flagged bets totaling $22.1K.
- It is 2-for-2 on resolved trades and up $5.4K so far.
- The bettor paid 76¢ for FlyQuest, slightly above the current market, showing urgency to get filled.
$8,000 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 91%
86% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% historical win rate is buying FlyQuest at 73¢ despite the trade size being modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $4.9M lifetime.
- They have traded 203 events across 292 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- Entry at 73¢ is slightly below the current 74–75¢ market, offering a decent copy point.
$2,824 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 85%
86% winner in thin market
Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate bought a meaningful position in a thin esports market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
- They have traded 286 markets across 198 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting edge.
- The $2.5K buy was more than double recent market activity, with entry at 71¢.
$2,461 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 85%
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