LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
17 signals across 3 markets · $103,409 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion is an LCS Regular Season League of Legends best-of-three event on Polymarket, with markets covering the match winner plus Game 1 and Game 2 winners. PolySpotter is tracking $103,409 in smart money across 17 signals, including sharp cluster buying on FlyQuest, underdog backing, and a 10-wallet esports pile-on.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying FlyQuest
A high-scoring esports cluster has four wallets buying FlyQuest pre-match, anchored by a very profitable 86% bettor, though there is some opposing Shopify flow and the entry is now available cheaper.
$7,618Score: 23.5 - Sharp wallets backing underdog
High-score coordinated underdog bet led by a 22-for-22 profitable wallet, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
$10,500Score: 18.7 - 95% winner in linked cluster
Strong sharp-wallet signal: a 95% winning bettor with $77k profit bought Shopify Rebellion alongside linked same-direction wallets during a major volume spike.
$1,084Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 17.0 - Five-wallet momentum cluster
Five wallets bought FlyQuest around 67–69¢ ahead of a sharp move to 87¢, backed by a 90x volume spike, though opposing Shopify flow makes it a momentum signal rather than a clean one-sided sharp bet.
$8,681Score: 15.4 - 10-wallet sharp esports pile-on
High-conviction coordinated esports flow: 10 wallets bought $40.6k of FlyQuest amid a 343x volume spike, including several profitable serial traders.
$40,597Score: 14.4 - 22-0 bettor on underdog
A 22-0 profitable wallet and two other wallets bought Shopify Rebellion, but the market has since moved sharply against them from 33¢ to 8¢.
$1,089Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 11.5 - New profitable whale backing favorite
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is putting another $8K on FlyQuest, suggesting emerging conviction despite limited history.
$8,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.7 - 90% winner caught early move
Worth surfacing because a highly profitable 90% sports/esports bettor bought FlyQuest before a major move from 72% to 96%, with corroborating cross-market history and volume spike.
$1,120Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 8.0 - 75% winner caught FlyQuest move
Sharp cross-market esports bettor with a 75% win record bought FlyQuest at 72¢ before the market ran to 96¢ amid a major volume spike.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 8.0 - 86% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% historical win rate is buying FlyQuest at 73¢ despite the trade size being modest for this liquid market.
$2,824Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x54c23f…23ad$8,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x13414a…0853$6,635 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 85% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$5,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x25869d…f071$3,571 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x06c0e6…e618$3,294 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0xd3b034…329e$2,304 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x8c0b02…7aa5$2,277 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xb10bf1…0b04$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x7a0fac…1305$1,120 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x6bac58…6fb7$1,089 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion odds on Polymarket?
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the full BO3 match winner as well as Game 1 and Game 2 winner markets. Odds can move as traders react to lineups, form, drafts, and in-series results.
What is the smart money doing on FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion?
PolySpotter has detected 17 smart money signals and $103,409 tracked across the event. Recent alerts include sharp cluster buying FlyQuest, a five-wallet momentum cluster, and a 10-wallet sharp esports pile-on.
Are sharp bettors backing the underdog?
Yes, one recent alert flagged sharp wallets backing the underdog, suggesting some experienced Polymarket traders see value away from the market favorite. That does not guarantee the result, but it can be useful context when reading the odds.
Which markets are included in this event?
The event includes three related markets: the overall FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion BO3 match winner, the Game 1 winner, and the Game 2 winner.
When does the FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the May 3 LCS Regular Season match and is expected to resolve after a winner is determined, with the listed resolution deadline around May 4, 2026 UTC. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated criteria.