LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against FlyQuest. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,622.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

86% serial cross-market sharp

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought FlyQuest at 67¢ before a major move to 97¢, making this worth tracking though the current price is likely too expensive to chase.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.9M lifetime.
  • They have bet across 293 related markets and $2.47M of cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They entered at 67¢ before the market moved to 97¢, so the edge was strong but most of the move has already happened.

$1,350 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp cluster buying FlyQuest

A high-scoring esports cluster has four wallets buying FlyQuest pre-match, anchored by a very profitable 86% bettor, though there is some opposing Shopify flow and the entry is now available cheaper.

  • A bettor up $4.9M lifetime is part of this FlyQuest cluster and wins 86% of resolved bets.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $7.6K shortly before the match, with volume spiking 220x above normal.
  • FlyQuest is now 66¢ after the cluster paid about 71¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp buyers got.

$7,618 on FlyQuest

95% winner in linked cluster

Strong sharp-wallet signal: a 95% winning bettor with $77k profit bought Shopify Rebellion alongside linked same-direction wallets during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $77k lifetime.
  • Three linked wallets are all buying Shopify Rebellion, totaling about $4.5k in one-sided flow.
  • They entered at 34¢ before the price moved to 45¢, alongside a 220x pre-event volume spike.

$1,084 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable bettor joins underdog cluster

Profitable high-volume trader bought Shopify Rebellion at 32¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, with the market already repricing to 45¢.

  • This bettor is up $466K lifetime and has traded across 185 events.
  • Three wallets all bought Shopify Rebellion, with $4.5K flowing the same way.
  • They entered at 32¢ and the market has already moved to 45¢.

$2,277 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 55%

75% serial cross-market winner

Proven profitable serial cross-market trader bought $3.3k of FlyQuest, a trade equal to over half the market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $207k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 49 related events, suggesting a repeatable esports betting process.
  • The $3.3k FlyQuest buy was 52% of the market’s 24h volume at a 68¢ entry.

$3,294 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Shopify Rebellion, $11,263 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x9770...0ff5 FlyQuest, $10,271 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xfd96...e623 FlyQuest, $10,000 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x1341...0853 FlyQuest, $9,774 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xb10b...0b04 FlyQuest, $6,443 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x19d8...1691 Shopify Rebellion, $6,238 (49% win rate)
  7. 0xa2e4...bf9d FlyQuest, $5,000 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x82dc...5700 Shopify Rebellion, $4,956 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xb6ce...7a7d Shopify Rebellion, $4,887 (48% win rate)
  10. 0x06c0...e618 FlyQuest, $4,843 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

48m$15,622 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
FlyQuest
100¢
Shopify Rebellion
0¢

This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against FlyQuest. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “FlyQuest
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,350 on FlyQuest at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$7,618 on FlyQuest at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,084 on Shopify Rebellion at 34¢

34¢0¢34¢

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$2,277 on Shopify Rebellion at 32¢

32¢0¢32¢

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$3,294 on FlyQuest at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Related Theses