Part of: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,057.

Categories: Esports, Games, league of legends, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp 11-wallet underdog cluster

High-score coordinated underdog buy from 11 wallets, including profitable serial esports bettors, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

  • 11 wallets put $23.9K on the same underdog side, with 2 linked funders involved.
  • Several bettors have strong records, including one who wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $240.9K.
  • They paid about 30¢ on average, while the market now prices the same side near 4¢.

$23,861 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

85% winner hit Bilibili early

High-scoring esports alert from an 85% winning cross-market trader who bought Bilibili at 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢ amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $120k lifetime.
  • They have traded 87 related events and are winning 85% across that cross-market activity.
  • They bought Bilibili at 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢, alongside a 58x volume spike.

$2,800 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%

78% cross-market sharp

Strong cross-market sharp with a 78% resolved win rate bought Bilibili at 88¢ during a major volume spike and the market quickly moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $74.8K lifetime.
  • They have traded 49 related events and placed $28.8K across 3 markets in this event.
  • Bilibili was bought at 88¢ before the price moved to 100¢.

$4,500 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

Linked cluster backing underdog

Four wallets put nearly $10k on Ninjas in Pyjamas as pre-event volume spiked, with one linked-wallet pair and a confirming 16-point move toward the same side.

  • Four wallets are all backing Ninjas in Pyjamas, including two linked wallets sharing a funder.
  • Nearly $10k hit the underdog side while market volume spiked 23.6x before the match.
  • The price has already moved from about 25¢ to 31¢, showing the market is following this flow.

$9,808 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

71% serial bettor backs favorite

A high-volume serial bettor with a 71% resolved win rate and $137k profit is backing Bilibili amid a 66x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 13,662 resolved bets and is up $137,868 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $853,259 deployed across 218 events.
  • Market volume spiked 66x before the match, and this wallet bought Bilibili at 85¢.

$1,088 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2935...96f7 Outcome 35200235, $43,500
  2. 0x4b8f...de20 Outcome 35200235, $30,283 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x2307...3934 Outcome 35200235, $26,097 (57% win rate)
  4. 0xdaee...8559 Outcome 35200235, $19,460
  5. 0xb635...bef0 Outcome 35200235, $12,821 (53% win rate)
  6. 0xbbb1...204d Outcome 35200235, $11,000 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x3445...d229 Outcome 35200235, $9,000
  8. 0xe169...4653 Outcome 35200235, $8,746 (77% win rate)
  9. 0xad72...4f5e Outcome 35200235, $7,315 (87% win rate)
  10. 0xe872...819a Outcome 35200235, $6,959 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Bilibili Gaming beats Team WE

Covers 4 related markets

G2 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili Gaming dominates Anyone's Legend

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G beats T1 in four

Covers 6 related markets

France won't win World Cup

Covers 5 related markets

Gen.G sweeps KT Rolster

Covers 4 related markets

G2 defeats Movistar KOI

Covers 3 related markets

No deal by May

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$42,057 tracked5 signalsEsportsGamesleague of legendsSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

45d ago

$23,861 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 30¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

45d ago

$2,800 on Bilibili Gaming at 76¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

45d ago

$4,500 on Bilibili Gaming at 88¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

45d ago

$9,808 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 25¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

45d ago

$1,088 on Bilibili Gaming at 85¢

Related Theses

Bilibili Gaming beats Team WE
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gamin…LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gamin…LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gamin…
G2 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 5 related markets
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…
Bilibili Gaming dominates Anyone's Legend
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibi…LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibi…LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibi…
Gen.G beats T1 in four
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 6 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winn…Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winn…
France won't win World Cup
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 5 related markets
Will France win the 2026 FIFA …Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA…
Gen.G sweeps KT Rolster
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Gam…LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)…LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Gam…
G2 defeats Movistar KOI
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esport…LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esport…LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esport…
No deal by May
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 2 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone…
Wallet_0x9b491 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bili…LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bili…LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bili…