LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the League of Legends match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend. The market is scheduled around April 23 and resolves based on the official winner of Game 1, even if the full match is not completed afterward. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,126 in smart money activity across this market, with recent esports sharp and contrarian alert signals.
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $245,055.
Categories: league of legends, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor caught 7¢ longshot
A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate bought the 7% underdog right before the market ripped to 94%, signaling a strong cross-market trader worth following despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up $1.29M across 1,345 resolved bets
- They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 7¢, and the market is now 94¢ after a fast 16.5-point move
- This wallet has traded 293 markets across 173 events, so this looks like a repeatable event-trading edge
$1,126 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor in 10-wallet wave
A proven high-win-rate esports bettor bought Bilibili Gaming before a coordinated 10-wallet surge that pushed the price from 50% to 92%, suggesting strong informed conviction.
- This bettor wins 88% of 1,187 resolved markets and is up $175k lifetime
- 10 wallets piled into the same side for $34.8k, and some share funding links
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 50¢ before the market jumped to 92¢
$2,500 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
5-wallet contrarian esports cluster
Five wallets collectively took a sizable contrarian position on Ninjas in Pyjamas in a fast-moving esports market, including profitable traders and a new wallet that has already been betting large across markets.
- Five wallets put $23.6k behind Ninjas in Pyjamas while the market still prices them at just 20¢.
- Several wallets are profitable long-term, including traders up $52k and $56k lifetime.
- This hit during an 18x volume spike with sharp price swings, showing strong conviction on both sides.
$23,560 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
85% win-rate sharp bettor
A proven sharp esports bettor with an 85% win rate bought Bilibili Gaming at 50¢ before a coordinated 11-wallet move pushed the price to 80¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $698k across 82 resolved bets.
- 11 wallets piled into the same side for nearly $37.9k, and the price jumped from 50¢ to 80¢ right after.
- The trade was entered at 50¢ in a liquid market, implying they saw a major mispricing before the move.
$4,540 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
11-wallet esports pile-in
A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a large $11.9k buy that joined 11 wallets piling into Bilibili Gaming, helping drive a fast 15-point move in a liquid esports market.
- 11 wallets bought Bilibili Gaming together for $37.9k, a strong one-sided signal.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 6 notable bets, is up $3.6k, and added $11.9k here.
- The trade hit at 60¢ and the market quickly moved to 80¢, showing immediate follow-through.
$11,856 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
11-wallet BLG pile-in
A brand-new wallet with repeated large activity joined an 11-wallet one-sided surge into Bilibili Gaming just before a sharp repricing from 55¢ to 80¢, making the coordinated flow more notable than the individual wallet’s weak record.
- 11 wallets all bought Bilibili Gaming in the same burst, totaling $37.9k
- This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 15 times for large bets, showing aggressive repeated conviction
- The buy hit at 55¢ before the market jumped to 80¢ in about 2 minutes
$1,804 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 0%
15-wallet esports sharp cluster
A 15-wallet cluster put $115k on Bilibili Gaming, including several high-win-rate cross-market bettors and a new wallet already showing profits, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the market snapping back below many entries.
- 15 wallets piled $115k into Bilibili Gaming, a much larger coordinated push than the opposing side's $12.6k.
- Several wallets in the cluster have strong records, including bettors winning 79% to 92% of resolved trades and two serial cross-market traders up $1.3M+ and $1.8M+.
- Most of the size hit at 60-732, while Bilibili now sits near 492, creating a much better follow price than the original entries.
$115,447 on Bilibili Gaming
6-wallet esports pile-in
This is coordinated one-sided flow into Ninjas in Pyjamas across 6 wallets during a sharp volume spike, and this wallet is an active cross-market trader with a large sample and positive P&L.
- 6 wallets put $12.6k on the same side as volume surged nearly 29x above normal
- This trader has 1,101 resolved bets and is up $55.8k lifetime, so the flow is coming from an experienced bettor
- They sold Bilibili Gaming at 59¢, which translates to buying Ninjas in Pyjamas around 41¢; the market is now 51¢
$1,569 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 56%
6-wallet sharp cluster
Six wallets, including several with strong long-term win rates and profits, piled into the same side of this Game 1 market and drove Ninjas in Pyjamas from 7-38¢/67-81¢ equivalents to 100% within minutes.
- Six wallets all bet Ninjas in Pyjamas in a $17.9k coordinated push, and 2 wallets are linked by funding.
- Several wallets have elite track records, including one at 85% wins and +$698k P&L and another at 75% wins across 1,345 resolved bets.
- They bought as the price ripped about 72 points in minutes, turning entries from 7-81¢ equivalent into a 100¢ winner.
$17,907 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
Profitable new wallet whale
A 3-day-old wallet with repeat large bets and early profits just put $23.7k on Bilibili Gaming during a sharp pre-match volume surge, suggesting real conviction worth watching.
- A 3-day-old wallet has already made 5 positions, is up $3.6k, and just placed a $23.7k bet
- This is the wallet's fourth large-bet alert, which points to repeated conviction rather than a one-off punt
- The market saw a 127x volume spike, so this bet landed as money rushed into the match
$23,722 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $141,451 (52% win rate)
- 0x0254...34b3 — Bilibili Gaming, $76,866 (88% win rate)
- 0xc690...42b8 — Bilibili Gaming, $59,780 (85% win rate)
- 0x76cf...9452 — Bilibili Gaming, $50,090 (86% win rate)
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $48,916
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — Bilibili Gaming, $34,867 (67% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $33,947 (75% win rate)
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $25,496 (82% win rate)
- 0x33ab...9523 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $24,143
- 0x842a...7422 — Bilibili Gaming, $22,867 (53% win rate)
