LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 2 of the League of Legends match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 23. Traders are pricing the odds for the individual map, not the full series, and the market resolves once Game 2 has a confirmed winner. PolySpotter also tracks $58,436 in smart money activity across 7 signals tied to this market.
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 23 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $132,133.
Categories: league of legends, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
80% win-rate momentum bettor
A profitable high-hit-rate bettor bought into a sharp 30-point move and was immediately right, suggesting momentum worth noting even though the stake size was modest.
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up about $19.9k across 158 resolved bets
- They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 90¢ during a 30-point price surge, and the market is now 100¢
- The signal is stronger because this is a proven wallet following a fast move, not a random one-off bet
$1,059 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 80%
4-wallet contrarian esports cluster
Four wallets, including one with a 93% win rate, piled into the 10% underdog side after buying much higher prices earlier, creating a coordinated contrarian cluster worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Four wallets all backed Bilibili Gaming for $6.6k, and 2 of them are linked to the same funder
- One wallet wins 93% of its bets across 353 resolved markets and another wins 83% across 791
- They bought at 46-55¢ while the market is now 10¢, so this is a high-conviction contrarian position
$6,570 on Bilibili Gaming
New wallet chasing breakout
A 1-day-old wallet has already made $51k+ of flagged bets and just bought heavily into a fast-moving esports market well before a 26-point price jump, making this a conviction momentum trade despite no proven track record yet.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 18 large-bet alerts and put $3.3k into this side
- Bought at 49¢ and 60¢ before the market jumped to 88%, showing strong conviction ahead of the move
- The price moved up 26 points in a liquid market, so this looks like informed momentum rather than a random small trade
$3,346 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 0%
91% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate bought into a fast-rising esports market, making this worth surfacing despite the already-expensive 90¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $2.0M across 879 resolved markets
- They trade heavily across related markets and have done this in 190 events, which suggests a repeatable edge
- They bought after a 25.7-point jump, paying 90¢ for Ninjas in Pyjamas in a market that moved hard
$1,427 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 91%
Pro bettor caught 26-point swing
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor flipped from Bilibili Gaming into Ninjas in Pyjamas at 76¢ just before a 26-point move, suggesting a meaningful read on live game state.
- This bettor has 848 resolved trades, a 62% win rate, and is up $184k lifetime
- They bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 76¢ and the price quickly jumped to 88¢
- They had just closed a Bilibili Gaming position first, so this looks like a fresh flip in view rather than routine holding
$1,917 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable new wallet whale
A 3-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits just put nearly $10k into this esports market during a sharp volume surge, which is notable despite the weak current track record.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 10 large flagged bets and is up $3.5k early
- They put nearly $10k into one side here, showing concentrated conviction rather than small testing trades
- Market volume jumped 14.5x, so this bet landed during unusually heavy action
$9,812 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
85% win-rate esports bettor
An 85% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Bilibili Gaming for $3.5k, making this wallet worth monitoring despite the market being highly liquid and the entry now being far below their buy price.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 106 bets and has put $1.13M across 95 related markets
- bullets?
$3,461 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
9-wallet NIP pile-in
Nine wallets piled into Ninjas in Pyjamas as the price ripped from the mid-20s to 54%, including several profitable high-volume bettors and a new wallet with a perfect early record.
- Nine wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas for $24.7k total as the price jumped about 20 points.
- Several wallets in the cluster have strong records, including bettors up $154k and $184k lifetime and one wallet at 28 wins in 28 resolved bets.
- The best entries were around 26 to 29 cents, implying they saw a large mispricing before the market moved to 54 cents.
$24,670 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
96% win-rate serial trader
A highly profitable serial esports trader with a 96% win rate bought Bilibili Gaming into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest stake size.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades and is up about $450k across 71 resolved positions
- They have bet 62 markets across 49 events with the same strong results, which suggests repeatable skill rather than a lucky streak
- They bought Bilibili Gaming at 71¢ during a 139x volume spike, showing conviction as money rushed into this market
$1,389 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable new wallet whale
A 3-day-old wallet with repeat five-figure betting activity and early profits just put another $11.1k into Bilibili Gaming during a major volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets and is up $3.5k early
- It just bought $11.1k of Bilibili Gaming at 71-72¢, a concentrated bet in a $13k liquidity market
- Market volume is running 139x normal, so this buy landed during a sharp surge in attention
$11,105 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $104,872 (52% win rate)
- 0xc690...42b8 — Bilibili Gaming, $63,281 (85% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Bilibili Gaming, $49,046 (84% win rate)
- 0xe77f...ebd0 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $30,522
- 0xc44f...d49f — Bilibili Gaming, $29,246 (63% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $22,095 (25% win rate)
- 0x93bc...8ca3 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $20,561 (79% win rate)
- 0x01e6...e7e0 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $18,218 (44% win rate)
- 0x161e...6ef0 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $16,093 (82% win rate)
- 0xe3aa...1485 — Bilibili Gaming, $15,355 (51% win rate)
