Part of: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,015.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports cluster

Three wallets, including two highly profitable serial esports bettors, pushed Shopify Rebellion from the mid-50s/70s to 96% with nearly $10k of one-sided buying.

Two major serial bettors are backing the same side, with over $1.6M combined lifetime profit.
Three wallets bought nearly $9.9k of Shopify Rebellion, helping move the price from about 56–78¢ to 96¢.
Market volume spiked 30.8x before the match, suggesting the move was part of a broader informed rush.

$9,892 on Shopify Rebellion

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 762-bet history bought Shopify Rebellion at 57% in a liquid esports market.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up about $455k lifetime.
They have traded across 110 events and 192 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Entry at 57¢ is close to the current market price, so the copy window is still reasonable.

$1,458 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit bought Shopify Rebellion at 57¢.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
They have traded across 66 events and 75 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports betting process.
Entry at 57¢ implies they see Shopify Rebellion as meaningfully better than a coin flip.

$2,581 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying Shopify Rebellion in a moderately liquid esports market.

This bettor has won 72% of 762 resolved trades and is up about $455k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 109 events and 191 markets.
Entry at 57¢ suggests they see Shopify Rebellion as better than a coin flip, with current odds slightly cheaper around 54¢.

$1,964 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large long-term sample bought Disguised on a relatively quiet esports market, though the price has since moved against them.

This bettor has a deep track record: 68% wins across 671 resolved bets and $858k lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.7M deployed across 387 markets and many events.
They bought Disguised at 59¢, but the market has since fallen to 50¢, giving a cheaper copy entry than the original trade.

$1,119 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 45328649, $3,500 (81% win rate)
0x7a0f...1305 — Outcome 45328649, $2,207 (91% win rate)
0xe1e7...8a71 — Outcome 45328649, $1,702
0x8756...3c83 — Outcome 45328649, $1,562
0x53a5...55df — Outcome 45328649, $1,320 (63% win rate)
0x1b50...ea47 — Outcome 45328649, $1,100
0x56ae...9bad — Outcome 45328649, $610
0xfae6...ab69 — Outcome 45328649, $601 (56% win rate)
0xe2be...ff33 — Outcome 45328649, $567
0x49a6...a658 — Outcome 45328649, $517 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid

Covers 5 related markets

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$17,015 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 16 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.