What is the Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised Game 1 prediction market?

This Polymarket market lets traders predict which team will win Game 1 of the League of Legends match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season.

When does the Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised market resolve?

The market is expected to resolve by May 17, 2026, after Game 1 has a confirmed winner. If the match starts and Game 1 is completed, resolution is based on that Game 1 result.

How does this market resolve if Shopify Rebellion wins?

If Shopify Rebellion wins Game 1 against Disguised, the market resolves to “Shopify Rebellion.”

How does this market resolve if Disguised wins?

If Disguised wins Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion, the market resolves to “Disguised.”

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $9,892 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including activity associated with profitable esports and cross-market bettors.

Part of: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, scheduled for May 16 at 7:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with resolution expected by May 17, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $9,892 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 16 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,015.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports cluster

Three wallets, including two highly profitable serial esports bettors, pushed Shopify Rebellion from the mid-50s/70s to 96% with nearly $10k of one-sided buying.

Two major serial bettors are backing the same side, with over $1.6M combined lifetime profit.
Three wallets bought nearly $9.9k of Shopify Rebellion, helping move the price from about 56–78¢ to 96¢.
Market volume spiked 30.8x before the match, suggesting the move was part of a broader informed rush.

$9,892 on Shopify Rebellion

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 762-bet history bought Shopify Rebellion at 57% in a liquid esports market.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up about $455k lifetime.
They have traded across 110 events and 192 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Entry at 57¢ is close to the current market price, so the copy window is still reasonable.

$1,458 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit bought Shopify Rebellion at 57¢.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
They have traded across 66 events and 75 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports betting process.
Entry at 57¢ implies they see Shopify Rebellion as meaningfully better than a coin flip.

$2,581 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying Shopify Rebellion in a moderately liquid esports market.

This bettor has won 72% of 762 resolved trades and is up about $455k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 109 events and 191 markets.
Entry at 57¢ suggests they see Shopify Rebellion as better than a coin flip, with current odds slightly cheaper around 54¢.

$1,964 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large long-term sample bought Disguised on a relatively quiet esports market, though the price has since moved against them.

This bettor has a deep track record: 68% wins across 671 resolved bets and $858k lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.7M deployed across 387 markets and many events.
They bought Disguised at 59¢, but the market has since fallen to 50¢, giving a cheaper copy entry than the original trade.

$1,119 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 68%