Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
30 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,767.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports regular joins cluster
High-scoring ThunderTalk cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a highly profitable serial cross-market trader, one-sided flow, a 58x volume spike, and major price movement.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 72% of resolved bets and is up $426K lifetime.
- Three wallets all took the ThunderTalk side as volume ran 58x above normal.
- The market has swung sharply today, suggesting active positioning around this match.
$4,240 on ThunderTalk Gaming
Profitable serial esports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor effectively bought EDward Gaming at 22¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins over 1,026 resolved bets and +$227,920 lifetime profit.
- Their sell of ThunderTalk is equivalent to buying EDward Gaming at 22¢, well below the current market price.
- Three wallets are all leaning EDward Gaming, with $16,954 in same-side flow during a 33x volume spike.
$1,608 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable serial esports bettor
High-composite esports alert with one-sided EDward Gaming flow, a major volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market bettor, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is up about $60.9k lifetime across 187 resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought EDward Gaming in the same window, totaling about $17k.
- The market saw a 33x volume spike and a 25-point EDward Gaming price move, but the price has since fallen well below this entry.
$8,725 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial esports trader
A profitable high-volume cross-market trader is effectively buying EDward Gaming against a major ThunderTalk rally, alongside same-side flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has 1,026 resolved trades and is up about $228K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the EDward Gaming side for $5.7K total during a 32.9x volume spike.
- The entry was effectively 27¢ on EDward Gaming, while the market has since moved to 12¢.
$1,515 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable bettor buying dip
A profitable high-volume repeat bettor is buying EDward Gaming at 49¢ after a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price drop.
- This high-volume bettor is up $73k across 177 resolved bets.
- The market is seeing a 23x volume spike, with EDward Gaming’s price down about 23 percentage points.
- Entry at 49¢ gives near-even odds after a large pre-match move.
$1,483 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 53%
Elite esports sharp buying EDG
Elite profitable esports bettor made a large EDward Gaming buy, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite the price now trading lower.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime.
- They put $19.7K on EDward Gaming, and 4 wallets backed the same side for about $24K total.
- Market volume spiked 163x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$19,708 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable bettor plus cluster
Solid profitable esports/cross-market bettor joined a four-wallet EDward Gaming buy cluster during a major pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 64% of 136 resolved markets and is up $14.6k lifetime.
- Four wallets bought EDward Gaming in the same window for about $24k total.
- The flagged entry was 67¢, but EDward Gaming now trades around 56¢, offering a cheaper entry than the bettor got.
$1,017 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable esports cluster
Three profitable esports-heavy wallets bought ThunderTalk together before a 32-point move to 100%, led by a serial cross-market trader up $228k lifetime.
- Three profitable wallets all bought ThunderTalk, totaling $4.1k before the market moved to 100%.
- The lead wallet has 1,026 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up about $228k lifetime.
- Two wallets are serial cross-market bettors with hundreds of prior event trades, suggesting this was informed match positioning.
$4,140 on ThunderTalk Gaming
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor joined one-sided EDward flow during a major pre-match volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $252k across 601 resolved bets with a 68% hit rate.
- Four wallets bought EDward Gaming the same way, totaling about $24k.
- Market volume spiked 163x before the match, but EDward has pulled back from their 68¢ entry to 56¢.
$1,224 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Surfaced because this is a profitable serial cross-market trader with a 76% record over 177 resolved bets buying EDward Gaming at 65¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $57.9K lifetime.
- They have traded across 79 events and 145 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 65¢ implies a solid favorite position while the market remains liquid with a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,950 on EDward Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x1341...0853 — EDward Gaming, $58,696 (85% win rate)
- 0x9e3b...6598 — EDward Gaming, $20,000
- 0x21d0...42b1 — EDward Gaming, $9,592 (87% win rate)
- 0xdd9d...b730 — EDward Gaming, $5,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x19b6...ad8e — EDward Gaming, $4,676 (83% win rate)
- 0xed88...e838 — EDward Gaming, $4,196 (91% win rate)
- 0xa2e4...bf9d — EDward Gaming, $4,133 (60% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — EDward Gaming, $4,056 (71% win rate)
- 0xb8cb...8f46 — EDward Gaming, $2,500 (57% win rate)
- 0x1dea...e1d2 — EDward Gaming, $2,254 (100% win rate)
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