Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket covers the Game 2 winner between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana match scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 2, with final resolution expected by May 16, 2026 at 13:00 UTC; PolySpotter is tracking $3,680 in smart money across 3 signals, including notable underdog buying alerts.

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,142.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% esports sharp buying underdog

Sharp profitable serial cross-market wallet joined one-sided ThunderTalk buying, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $252K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 31 events tracked and a 92% hit rate.
  • Five wallets bought the same ThunderTalk side for $11.5K, but the price has since fallen from 34¢ to 13¢.

$1,394 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial bettor buying dog

Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% long-run record joined one-sided ThunderTalk buying amid a major volume spike, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $102k lifetime.
  • They have traded 27 related events with the same 78% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • Five wallets bought ThunderTalk the same way, though the price has since dropped from 34¢ to 13¢.

$1,158 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%

87% sharp on esports dog

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% long-run win rate bought ThunderTalk, alongside one-sided cluster flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $11.5K on ThunderTalk Gaming.
  • The entry was 33¢, but the market has since dropped to 13¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.

$1,128 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

12-wallet EDG momentum cluster

A large 12-wallet EDward Gaming buy cluster hit during a 57x volume spike, including several profitable high-volume esports-style traders and a move from ~67¢ to 78¢.

  • 12 wallets bought the same side for $39.5K, pushing EDward Gaming from about 67¢ to 78¢.
  • Volume spiked 57x above normal, suggesting this was not routine market activity.
  • Several participating wallets are profitable long-term bettors, including one up $227K and another up $207K lifetime.

$39,462 on EDward Gaming

Top Holders

  1. 0x3af1...d739 ThunderTalk Gaming, $53,866 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x6049...f14f EDward Gaming, $32,828
  3. 0xf68a...5b1b EDward Gaming, $24,257 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xd2f3...37f9 EDward Gaming, $21,592 (57% win rate)
  5. 0xafd4...7e61 EDward Gaming, $20,000 (64% win rate)
  6. 0xc44f...d49f ThunderTalk Gaming, $16,212 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x9e3b...6598 ThunderTalk Gaming, $15,000
  8. 0xe405...c67e EDward Gaming, $10,218 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xd6f5...f3b5 ThunderTalk Gaming, $8,577 (89% win rate)
  10. 0xb234...1c20 ThunderTalk Gaming, $7,000 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

1hLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$43,142 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
ThunderTalk Gaming
0¢
EDward Gaming
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “EDward Gaming
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,394 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 34¢

34¢0¢34¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,158 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 34¢

34¢0¢34¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,128 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 33¢

33¢0¢33¢

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$39,462 on EDward Gaming at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Related Theses