Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket covers the Game 2 winner between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana match scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 2, with final resolution expected by May 16, 2026 at 13:00 UTC; PolySpotter is tracking $3,680 in smart money across 3 signals, including notable underdog buying alerts.
This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for May 16 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,142.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% esports sharp buying underdog
Sharp profitable serial cross-market wallet joined one-sided ThunderTalk buying, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $252K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 31 events tracked and a 92% hit rate.
- Five wallets bought the same ThunderTalk side for $11.5K, but the price has since fallen from 34¢ to 13¢.
$1,394 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial bettor buying dog
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% long-run record joined one-sided ThunderTalk buying amid a major volume spike, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $102k lifetime.
- They have traded 27 related events with the same 78% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Five wallets bought ThunderTalk the same way, though the price has since dropped from 34¢ to 13¢.
$1,158 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%
87% sharp on esports dog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% long-run win rate bought ThunderTalk, alongside one-sided cluster flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $270K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $11.5K on ThunderTalk Gaming.
- The entry was 33¢, but the market has since dropped to 13¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.
$1,128 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
12-wallet EDG momentum cluster
A large 12-wallet EDward Gaming buy cluster hit during a 57x volume spike, including several profitable high-volume esports-style traders and a move from ~67¢ to 78¢.
- 12 wallets bought the same side for $39.5K, pushing EDward Gaming from about 67¢ to 78¢.
- Volume spiked 57x above normal, suggesting this was not routine market activity.
- Several participating wallets are profitable long-term bettors, including one up $227K and another up $207K lifetime.
$39,462 on EDward Gaming
Top Holders
- 0x3af1...d739 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $53,866 (43% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — EDward Gaming, $32,828
- 0xf68a...5b1b — EDward Gaming, $24,257 (51% win rate)
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — EDward Gaming, $21,592 (57% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — EDward Gaming, $20,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — ThunderTalk Gaming, $16,212 (70% win rate)
- 0x9e3b...6598 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $15,000
- 0xe405...c67e — EDward Gaming, $10,218 (57% win rate)
- 0xd6f5...f3b5 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $8,577 (89% win rate)
- 0xb234...1c20 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $7,000 (62% win rate)
