Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $200,032.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

19-wallet ThunderTalk conviction cluster

A 19-wallet coordinated position favors ThunderTalk Gaming, backed by sharp bettors and an extreme pre-event volume spike despite the market pricing them at only 32%.

  • 19 wallets put $60,560 behind ThunderTalk Gaming, including several bettors with strong long-term records.
  • The market saw a 118.8x historical volume spike while ThunderTalk fell to roughly 32%, suggesting concentrated buyers are taking the other side of the move.
  • Some participants have added to existing ThunderTalk positions around 32–37%, showing sustained conviction rather than a one-off trade.

$60,560 on ThunderTalk Gaming

Serial sharp scaling into Top Esports

A proven 86% winner with 211 resolved bets added to an existing Top Esports position at 83% before the price rose to 90%.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 211 resolved bets and is up $95,736 lifetime.
  • They added $1,200 to an existing $6,783 Top Esports position at 83%, showing increased conviction.
  • Top Esports has since moved up 17 percentage points to 90%, confirming the trade’s momentum.

$1,200 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 86%

83% winner scaling into Top Esports

A highly experienced serial trader with an 83% win rate is adding nearly $24,000 to an existing Top Esports position during an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 824 resolved trades and is up $516,122 lifetime.
  • They added nearly $24,000 to an existing Top Esports position, bringing their investment to roughly $53,600.
  • The market saw a 1,319x historical volume spike, reinforcing the significance of this large directional bet.

$23,969 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%

99% winner buys Top Esports

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial cross-market history made a fresh $1,215 bet amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 1,081 of 1,096 resolved positions, with $397,811 in reported profit.
  • The wallet has traded across 48 events and 56 markets, showing a repeatable record rather than a one-off result.
  • The $1,215 purchase came during an 825.6x historical volume spike, reinforcing the directional signal on Top Esports.

$1,215 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettor scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $6,281 to an existing Top Esports position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 16 resolved positions and is up $5,851 overall.
  • They added $6,281 to Top Esports at 81¢, increasing an existing position rather than merely taking profits.
  • Market activity was 825x its historical average, supporting unusually strong pre-event conviction.

$6,281 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp bettors backing Top Esports

A large coordinated Top Esports position combines a major volume spike with several genuinely sharp bettors, though the trade has moved sharply against them and opposing flow makes the signal less clean.

  • 28 wallets committed about $151,000 to Top Esports, alongside a 115x surge in market activity.
  • Several participants have strong records, including 87% wins over 908 bets and 86% over 43 bets.
  • Top Esports entries were mostly 61–73%, but the price has fallen 29.5% to 52%, while opposing ThunderTalk flow makes this a high-risk copy.

$106,807 on Top Esports

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a86...4998 Outcome 72852972, $55,005 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 72852972, $54,522 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xe015...6ffd Outcome 72852972, $35,219 (90% win rate)
  4. 0xe548...a9fe Outcome 72852972, $32,891 (88% win rate)
  5. 0xa05e...4394 Outcome 72852972, $25,639 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xe4eb...1a6e Outcome 72852972, $20,000 (86% win rate)
  7. 0xb589...91e3 Outcome 72852972, $16,346 (85% win rate)
  8. 0xb635...bef0 Outcome 72852972, $12,489 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x4202...9d36 Outcome 72852972, $12,000 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 72852972, $11,399 (57% win rate)

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LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$200,032 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsSportsGames

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Top Esports
102¢
84¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$60,560 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 34¢

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$1,200 on Top Esports at 83¢

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3d ago

$23,969 on Top Esports at 81¢

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3d ago

$1,215 on Top Esports at 81¢

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3d ago

$6,281 on Top Esports at 81¢

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$106,807 on Top Esports at 52¢

Related Theses