Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Madrid Open match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days, standard cancellation rules apply. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,120 in smart money across 1 signal for this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Denis Shapovalov in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Denis Shapovalov. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,120.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
71% win-rate grinder
A very active sports bettor with a strong long-term record is taking Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 45¢, offering a clear copyable entry despite this being only a single-signal alert.
- This bettor has won 7,937 of 11,188 resolved trades, a 71% hit rate across 163 events.
- They bought Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 45¢, a price that implies roughly a 2.2x payoff if he advances.
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than a random swing in a thin market.
$1,120 on Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x2dc8...47d0 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $20,020
- 0xfe78...0319 — Denis Shapovalov, $16,284 (73% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $9,290 (91% win rate)
- 0x83d2...d196 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $6,928 (98% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Denis Shapovalov, $6,419 (52% win rate)
- 0x77f6...dbd1 — Denis Shapovalov, $5,649 (45% win rate)
- 0xcea6...5ce3 — Denis Shapovalov, $4,827
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $4,707 (58% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Denis Shapovalov, $4,170 (50% win rate)
- 0xcd3f...8e2b — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, $4,007 (86% win rate)
