Part of: Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong

Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Jesper de Jong in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Jesper de Jong. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,678.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Rafael Jodar despite a sharp price drop, making this a strong follow candidate based on proven edge rather than raw whale size.

This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $403k on $1.22M invested
They have repeated this pattern across 40 different events, which points to a real edge rather than a one-off hit
They bought Rafael Jodar at 57¢ even after heavy market activity, suggesting they saw value before the price fell to 50¢

$7,661 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 93%

3-wallet de Jong cluster

Coordinated buying on Jesper de Jong is notable because 3 wallets aligned on the same side during a 37x volume spike, and two Rafael Jodar sells convert into the same Jesper de Jong thesis at roughly 46-47¢.

Three wallets lined up on Jesper de Jong at about 46-47¢ for nearly $4.9k total.
The market saw a 37x volume spike and a 27-point one-day move, so this cluster hit during a major repricing.
One bettor has a 66% win rate across 459 resolved markets, adding some evidence this was more than random flow.

$4,896 on Jesper de Jong

Pro bettor before price jump

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a solid 386-bet history bought Jesper de Jong before a sharp 10-point move in a liquid match market.

This bettor has 386 resolved bets, wins 61% of the time, and is up about $76k lifetime.
They bought Jesper de Jong at 54¢ and the market is now 64¢, showing immediate price follow-through.
This wallet has traded across 414 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt.

$8,875 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 61%

Sharp 3-wallet tennis cluster

Three wallets piled into Rafael Jodar for $17.4k during a sharp volume spike, led by one bettor with a 94% win rate and $402k profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.

A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $402k led this buying at 57¢.
3 wallets bought the same side for $17.4k as market volume ran 36.6x above normal.
The market had just swung hard, with the other side dropping 22.5 points in 5 minutes before these buys.

$17,406 on Rafael Jodar

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surface this because a proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $380k profit made a $2.8k buy that accounted for over half of this market’s daily volume.

This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $380k across 782 resolved bets.
The $2.8k buy made up 52% of this market’s 24-hour volume, showing real conviction despite a quiet market.
This wallet has traded 46 related events for $109k total, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.

$2,840 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 82%