Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Playoffs Semifinal 1 between Team Spirit and MOUZ, using a map handicap of Spirit -1.5 versus MOUZ +1.5. It resolves to Spirit if Spirit wins by at least 2 maps; otherwise it resolves to MOUZ, with resolution scheduled for May 16, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $14,600 in smart money across 2 signals, including alerts from a 93% winning esports sharp and a 93% serial sports sharp.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,600.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
93% winning esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 40% despite the market currently pricing it slightly lower.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $264,792 lifetime.
- They have traded across 142 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see Spirit covering -1.5 maps as a strong mispricing.
$2,300 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%
93% serial sports sharp
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history made a large Spirit handicap buy on a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $264,792 lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader with 141 events tracked and a 93% hit rate.
- The $12,300 position is larger than recent market volume, showing strong conviction in a thin book.
$12,300 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x6902...b4ca — Spirit, $5,737 (93% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — MOUZ, $3,500 (47% win rate)
- 0xbfdf...8e02 — MOUZ, $2,000 (32% win rate)
- 0x48b8...4b69 — MOUZ, $1,500 (62% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — MOUZ, $1,080 (63% win rate)
- 0x8056...b64d — Spirit, $1,032 (49% win rate)
- 0xb9ab...f282 — MOUZ, $888 (50% win rate)
- 0x4fbf...4605 — Spirit, $828
- 0xb93b...4208 — Spirit, $680
- 0x42ac...7b70 — Spirit, $613
