Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 IEM Rio Quarterfinal 1 map handicap between Spirit and MOUZ. The market resolves to Spirit if Spirit wins by 2 or more maps, and to MOUZ if Spirit does not cover the -1.5 handicap. It is scheduled to resolve on April 17, 2026, after the playoff match is completed.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,668.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

27-0 sharp bettor

A bettor with a perfect 27-for-27 resolved record and $113k profit is making a fresh $5k buy on MOUZ after showing consistent cross-market success across 28 events.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 27 resolved trades and is up $113k lifetime
  • They have bet across 30 markets in 28 events and still have a perfect record
  • They bought MOUZ at 67¢ with nearly $5k, a meaningful stake even in a fairly liquid market

$4,975 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven esports thesis bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large resolved history put $13.5k into Spirit on a moderate esports market during an 18x volume spike, making this worth watching despite mixed entry prices.

  • This bettor has 862 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up about $190k lifetime.
  • They put $13.5k into Spirit in 3 trades while market activity jumped 18.4x above normal.
  • Two buys came at 34¢, which implies they saw clear value at roughly 3-to-1 odds.

$13,527 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable esports sharp sizes in

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 862 resolved bets and $189k profit made a sizable buy that accounted for 57% of this market's 24h volume, suggesting meaningful conviction despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 862 resolved trades and is up about $190k overall
  • Their $4.2k buy made up 57% of this market's 24-hour volume, so the position stands out versus normal activity
  • They bought Spirit at 34¢, a price that implies they see the handicap as materially undervalued

$4,166 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xea79...a9cc Spirit, $41,993 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 MOUZ, $28,935 (84% win rate)
  3. 0xbb94...243c Spirit, $9,830 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xdd58...18f9 MOUZ, $7,777 (41% win rate)
  5. 0x9770...0ff5 MOUZ, $7,426 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x842a...7422 MOUZ, $7,396 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x21ec...5348 Spirit, $3,361 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x6239...1d79 MOUZ, $3,265 (48% win rate)
  9. 0xc463...9a2f MOUZ, $2,000 (60% win rate)
  10. 0xcb9b...6df8 Spirit, $1,961 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

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Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

7h$22,668 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Spirit
32¢
MOUZ
68¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than MOUZ in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “MOUZ
71¢
60¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

1h ago

$4,975 on MOUZ at 67¢

67¢68¢1¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

2h ago

$13,527 on Spirit at 34¢

34¢32¢2¢

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

2h ago

$4,166 on Spirit at 34¢

34¢32¢2¢

Related Theses

Spirit vs MOUZ Handicap Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter