Part of: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,802.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors scaling into Vitality

Three wallets committed $12,155 to Vitality, including two highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates, alongside a major pre-event volume surge.

  • Two leading bettors win 85–86% of their trades and are adding to an existing Vitality position.
  • Three wallets committed $12,155 to Vitality during a 48.9x pre-event volume spike.
  • The largest entry was 70¢ while Vitality trades around 72%, leaving a modest price edge if the handicap holds.

$12,155 on Vitality

Serial winner scaling into magic

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate is adding to a substantial magic position during a 93.7x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 808 resolved trades and is up $78,638 overall.
  • The $5,000 purchase adds to an existing $16,505 magic position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine new entry.
  • Trading activity was 93.7 times the historical average, while magic remains available at 30¢.

$5,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 76%

87% win-rate esports bettor backs Vitality

A highly proven esports bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,640 purchase of Vitality at 70%.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 1,745 resolved positions and is up $2.28 million.
  • The $2,640 Vitality purchase is a fresh directional position in a liquid esports market.
  • Their average winning entry is 56%, versus 70% here, indicating strong historical performance beyond simply buying heavy favorites.

$2,640 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 87%

96% winner backs magic

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying magic alongside a six-wallet funded cluster.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 3,281 resolved positions and is up nearly $1.0 million.
  • The $1,033 magic position is part of a six-wallet cluster sharing the same funder.
  • The trade buys magic at 31¢, while the market currently prices it near 30%, leaving room to enter up to 41¢.

$1,033 on magic | Wallet win rate: 96%

94% winner backs Vitality

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.47M profit is making a fresh $1,252 bet on Vitality.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 2,996 resolved positions and earned $1.47M in profit.
  • The $1,252 Vitality purchase adds meaningful conviction in a market with $67,000 liquidity.
  • A serial trader across 626 events is entering at 70%, with a strong long-term record buying around 60% odds.

$1,252 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 94%

92% winner scaling into magic

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate is adding to a large magic position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 393 resolved positions and earned $1.67M in profit.
  • The $1,722 purchase adds to an existing $29,832 magic position, showing continued conviction.
  • Volume is running 824x above its 24-hour average, while magic is available near the 33¢ entry price.

$1,722 on magic | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 12825954, $29,832 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xe548...a9fe Outcome 12825954, $23,247 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x5f30...3aee Outcome 12825954, $16,505 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x5e76...15de Outcome 12825954, $7,061 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x7645...3117 Outcome 12825954, $7,000 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x6d1e...2c7e Outcome 12825954, $5,602 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x182d...73e9 Outcome 12825954, $5,000 (41% win rate)
  8. 0xbbf3...aa3a Outcome 12825954, $3,374 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xc34b...9296 Outcome 12825954, $3,333 (96% win rate)
  10. 0x8adb...e4f6 Outcome 12825954, $3,248 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina won’t win; others favored

Covers 7 related markets

Fed holds rates steady

Covers 2 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder cover low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

No Iran peace deal

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win close defensive game

Covers 3 related markets

France wins comfortably, clean sheet

Covers 3 related markets

England wins high-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

9z wins a close series

Covers 3 related markets

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Vitality vs magic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$23,802 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between Vitality and magic in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality wins 2 or more maps than magic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "magic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Vitality
88¢
78¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

3d ago

$12,155 on Vitality at 70¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

3d ago

$5,000 on magic at 30¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

3d ago

$2,640 on Vitality at 70¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

3d ago

$1,033 on magic at 31¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

4d ago

$1,252 on Vitality at 70¢

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

4d ago

$1,722 on magic at 33¢

Related Theses