MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether MegaETH's official token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1.2 billion exactly one day after launch. The market resolves to Yes if the token is publicly tradable and its total supply multiplied by token price is greater than $1.2 billion at that time; otherwise it resolves to No. Only MegaETH's official token counts, while stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens are excluded.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,502.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, MegaETH, fdv
Notable Trades
82% win-rate event specialist
Profitable cross-market specialist with an 82% win rate is building a sizable Yes position across this event despite a wide spread and recent pullback, making it a notable thesis trade.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k on nearly $349k invested.
- They have traded 50 markets across 25 related events, and put about $6.3k into 3 MegaETH launch markets.
- They bought Yes at 54¢ and 65¢ while the market now sits near 52¢, showing willingness to size into this thesis despite volatility.
$3,643 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
82% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% win rate just put $5.3k into a relatively thin MegaETH FDV market across three buys, signaling fresh conviction despite some price slippage.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k on nearly $349k invested.
- They trade across related markets with size — 25 events and 49 markets tracked, including 3 markets in this same event.
- They bought about $5.3k of Yes in a market with only about $11.4k of 24h volume and a 7-point spread, showing real conviction in a thinner market.
$5,279 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
82% win-rate crypto bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate made a market-moving buy in a thin crypto event market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k overall.
- They trade across 48 related markets in 25 events, which suggests a repeatable event-trading edge rather than a one-off punt.
- Their $1.3k buy was 157% of this market's 24-hour volume in a wide-spread market, showing conviction in a thin setup.
$1,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor in thin market
A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate made a sizable buy into a thin crypto market at 39¢, and the price has already moved up to 44¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k lifetime
- They bought $3.3k of Yes at 39¢ in a market with only $2.2k of liquidity and a 9¢ spread
- The price has already moved from 39¢ to 44¢, showing early follow-through after their entry
$3,309 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xeb67...d696 — Yes, $16,900 (83% win rate)
- 0xd1a4...8178 — No, $7,989 (48% win rate)
- 0xd7ee...9597 — No, $5,000
- 0x7818...d185 — No, $3,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x57e4...835e — Yes, $2,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xe182...b624 — No, $1,800 (45% win rate)
- 0x7bfa...de14 — No, $1,100
- 0x0826...0b32 — No, $683 (60% win rate)
- 0x2e7e...f02c — No, $666
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $642
