Part of: MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether MegaETH's official token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1.2 billion exactly one day after launch. The market resolves to Yes if the token is publicly tradable and its total supply multiplied by token price is greater than $1.2 billion at that time; otherwise it resolves to No. Only MegaETH's official token counts, while stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens are excluded.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,502.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, MegaETH, fdv
Notable Trades
82% win-rate event specialist
Profitable cross-market specialist with an 82% win rate is building a sizable Yes position across this event despite a wide spread and recent pullback, making it a notable thesis trade.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k on nearly $349k invested.
- They have traded 50 markets across 25 related events, and put about $6.3k into 3 MegaETH launch markets.
- They bought Yes at 54¢ and 65¢ while the market now sits near 52¢, showing willingness to size into this thesis despite volatility.
$3,643 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% win rate just put $5.3k into a relatively thin MegaETH FDV market across three buys, signaling fresh conviction despite some price slippage.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k on nearly $349k invested.
- They trade across related markets with size — 25 events and 49 markets tracked, including 3 markets in this same event.
- They bought about $5.3k of Yes in a market with only about $11.4k of 24h volume and a 7-point spread, showing real conviction in a thinner market.
$5,279 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate crypto bettor
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate made a market-moving buy in a thin crypto event market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $50.8k overall.
- They trade across 48 related markets in 25 events, which suggests a repeatable event-trading edge rather than a one-off punt.
- Their $1.3k buy was 157% of this market's 24-hour volume in a wide-spread market, showing conviction in a thin setup.
$1,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor in thin market
A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate made a sizable buy into a thin crypto market at 39¢, and the price has already moved up to 44¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k lifetime
- They bought $3.3k of Yes at 39¢ in a market with only $2.2k of liquidity and a 9¢ spread
- The price has already moved from 39¢ to 44¢, showing early follow-through after their entry
$3,309 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xd1a4...8178 — Outcome 33694576, $7,989 (51% win rate)
- 0xd7ee...9597 — Outcome 33694576, $4,477 (57% win rate)
- 0xd1e4...25d3 — Outcome 33694576, $313
- 0x8e2e...2ed6 — Outcome 33694576, $203
- 0x238f...3015 — Outcome 33694576, $108
- 0x250c...2774 — Outcome 33694576, $100
- 0x4b91...982d — Outcome 33694576, $100
- 0x7ac4...4f44 — Outcome 33694576, $100
- 0xb6c3...cf5c — Outcome 33694576, $90
- 0xcc1c...3439 — Outcome 33694576, $87
