Event

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

6 signals across 3 markets · $17,214 tracked

This Polymarket event tracks whether MegaETH’s token fully diluted valuation will be above key levels one day after launch. Traders are pricing outcomes across $1.2B, $1.4B, and $1.6B FDV thresholds, with PolySpotter tracking $17,214 in smart money activity and 6 signals including high win-rate crypto bettors and event specialists.

Markets (3)

  1. MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?4 signals · $13,502 tracked
  2. MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?1 signal · $2,700 tracked
  3. MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?1 signal · $1,012 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 82% win-rate event specialist

    A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% win rate just put $5.3k into a relatively thin MegaETH FDV market across three buys, signaling fresh conviction despite some price slippage.

    $5,279Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 11.5
  2. 82% winner in thin market

    A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% win rate bought Yes at 35¢ in an extremely thin market that has already moved up to 39¢.

    $1,012Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 11.5
  3. 82% win-rate event specialist

    Profitable cross-market specialist with an 82% win rate is building a sizable Yes position across this event despite a wide spread and recent pullback, making it a notable thesis trade.

    $3,643Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 10.0
  4. Sharp bettor in thin market

    A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate made a sizable buy into a thin crypto market at 39¢, and the price has already moved up to 44¢.

    $3,309Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.5
  5. 82% win-rate crypto bettor

    A profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate made a market-moving buy in a thin crypto event market, suggesting conviction worth tracking despite the modest size.

    $1,272Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.5
  6. Veteran thin-market Yes bettor

    A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a positive long-run record put a 24h-volume-sized Yes bet into a thin MegaETH FDV market.

    $2,700Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xeb6789d696$14,514 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 85% wins
  2. 0x58aa47a481$2,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the MegaETH FDV prediction market odds?

This event covers multiple Polymarket markets on MegaETH’s FDV one day after token launch, including whether it finishes above $1.2B, $1.4B, and $1.6B. The odds on each threshold reflect how traders are pricing the probability that MegaETH launches at or above that valuation level.

What outcomes are being traded for MegaETH’s launch FDV?

Traders can bet Yes or No on whether MegaETH’s fully diluted valuation exceeds $1.2B, $1.4B, or $1.6B one day after launch. These linked thresholds give a clearer view of market expectations than any single price level.

Is smart money betting on the MegaETH FDV markets?

PolySpotter has tracked $17,214 in smart money across this event, with 6 smart money signals. Recent alerts include an 82% win-rate crypto bettor, an 82% win-rate event specialist, and sharp bettor activity in thin markets.

Why do thin-market alerts matter for this MegaETH event?

Thin markets can move quickly when sharp or high win-rate traders take positions, because there may be less liquidity on the order book. PolySpotter flags these signals so users can see when experienced bettors may be influencing MegaETH FDV odds.

When does the MegaETH FDV market resolve?

The event resolves based on MegaETH’s official token FDV one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and only an official, publicly tradable MegaETH token qualifies.