MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?

This Polymarket asks whether MegaETH’s official token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1.6 billion one day after launch. The market resolves to Yes if the token is publicly tradable and its total supply multiplied by token price is greater than $1.6 billion at that one-day mark; otherwise it resolves to No. It only counts an official MegaETH token launch, excluding stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,012.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, MegaETH, fdv

Notable Trades

82% winner in thin market

A proven profitable cross-market trader with an 82% win rate bought Yes at 35¢ in an extremely thin market that has already moved up to 39¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $50.8k overall.
  • They trade this event style repeatedly across 48 related markets and 25 events, suggesting a systematic edge rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought Yes at 35¢ in a market with almost no recent volume and only about $2.4k liquidity, and the price has already jumped to 39¢.

$1,012 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd7ee...9597 No, $3,000
  2. 0xeb67...d696 Yes, $2,892 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xd4aa...d40c Yes, $143
  4. 0xad53...ef24 No, $35
  5. 0xb9a5...d93b No, $21
  6. 0x7ec4...2bd4 Yes, $18
  7. 0xa34d...b57f No, $8
  8. 0x63c2...21a4 Yes, $7
  9. 0xbc12...2658 Yes, $3
  10. 0xf2cf...464b Yes, $1

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?

$1,012 tracked1 signalCryptoPre-MarketMegaETHfdv
Yes
35¢
No
66¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No
85¢
67¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?

2h ago

$1,012 on Yes at 35¢

35¢35¢

Related Theses

MegaETH $1.6B FDV Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter