Part of: MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $176,042.
Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
New whale buying NO again
A 6-day-old wallet with $71.6k in repeated flagged bets is putting another $15k on No in a crypto launch valuation market with strong recent momentum toward No.
- This 6-day-old wallet has now placed $71.6k in flagged large bets across 5 alerts.
- They previously held a large No position here and just re-entered with another $15k at 82¢.
- The market has moved sharply toward No, with Yes down 14.5 points in the last day.
$15,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% cross-market crypto sharp
A highly successful serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate is buying No on a crypto valuation market with recent momentum in their favor.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $44.7K lifetime.
- They have traded across 43 events and 71 markets, showing a repeated cross-market edge.
- They bought No at 83¢ after Yes fell 14% in a day, aligning with recent market momentum.
$1,660 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
85% win-rate cross-market sharp
Highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet is building a cross-market MegaETH thesis and got early Yes exposure before the price moved from 30¢ to 38¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $201k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $520k deployed across 61 related markets.
- They bought Yes at 30¢ before the market moved to 38¢, suggesting early positioning on MegaETH strength.
$3,912 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
5-wallet linked Yes cluster
Coordinated five-wallet Yes flow with a linked funder and a 25x volume spike is worth surfacing, though most size came from selling No rather than fresh Yes buys.
- Five wallets moved $26k toward Yes, including two wallets funded by the same source.
- Most of the size sold No at 73–76¢, equivalent to buying Yes around 24–27¢.
- The trades landed during a 25x volume spike on a crypto launch valuation market.
$26,457 on Yes
Momentum buyer into YES
Moderately interesting crypto-market momentum: Yes saw a 22.6x volume spike and nearly 20-point upward price impact, though the wallet itself has only an average track record.
- Yes volume jumped 22.6x versus normal activity as the price moved up nearly 20 points.
- This wallet has $13.3k positioned across 2 related MegaETH markets, suggesting a broader launch-valuation thesis.
- Entry at 63¢ implies they are betting MegaETH clears a $2B valuation despite the market already moving sharply up.
$5,892 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
3-wallet Yes momentum cluster
Coordinated Yes-side buying across 3 wallets coincides with a 17.4x volume spike and a sharp move toward Yes in a crypto launch valuation market.
- Three wallets put $15.1k on Yes as market volume spiked 17.4x above normal.
- The Yes price has jumped 27 points in 24 hours, suggesting strong momentum behind the same thesis.
- Entry around 55¢ implies the cluster was buying before the market moved up to 64–65¢.
$15,148 on Yes
9-wallet linked No push
Sizable 9-wallet No cluster with 4 linked wallets, a 23x volume spike, and momentum already moving toward No despite mixed wallet records.
- Nine wallets put $31K on No, and four of them share a funder.
- The move lines up with market momentum: Yes is down 7.5 points today and 16 points this week.
- One No buyer has won 92% of 65 resolved bets and is up $68.9K.
$31,262 on No
New linked wallet buying NO
A 2-day-old repeat bettor linked to another funded wallet is taking the NO side on a liquid crypto-launch valuation market, though the size is modest.
- A 2-day-old wallet is already making repeat sizable bets, with $3.6k flagged across two alerts.
- This wallet shares a funder with another active wallet, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off trade.
- Selling Yes at 35¢ is equivalent to buying No at 65¢, slightly better than the current 66¢ market price.
$1,649 on No
85% serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate is placing a $6.3k No bet on a crypto FDV market.
- This bettor has won 85% of 189 resolved trades and is up $9.4k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 108 events and 155 markets.
- A $6.3k buy of No at 67¢ says they are fading a >$2B MegaETH valuation after launch.
$6,284 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.
- LLM evaluation inconclusive
$1,838 | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x2ad5...d434 — Outcome 57301498, $118,160
- 0xf893...cc40 — Outcome 57301498, $75,306
- 0x8133...3bb4 — Outcome 57301498, $63,154 (60% win rate)
- 0xf0d8...68ca — Outcome 57301498, $60,000
- 0x44e4...011c — Outcome 57301498, $37,317
- 0x5666...ef7b — Outcome 57301498, $23,989
- 0x5117...8c4e — Outcome 57301498, $22,787 (100% win rate)
- 0x1714...cbb8 — Outcome 57301498, $20,896
- 0xe714...d510 — Outcome 57301498, $13,929 (41% win rate)
- 0x39ec...6504 — Outcome 57301498, $10,414
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