MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether MegaETH’s token will reach a fully diluted valuation above $600 million exactly 24 hours after its launch. The market resolves based on the most liquid available price source, and locked or non-swappable tokens do not count as a launch. If MegaETH does not launch a token by June 30, 2026, the market resolves under the stated rules ahead of the July 1, 2026 resolution time.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,590.
Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
81% win-rate thesis trader
A profitable 81% win-rate wallet is expressing a broader event thesis across three related MegaETH markets, and this trade translates to buying No around 30¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $34k overall
- They have put $19.3k across 3 related MegaETH markets, pointing to a clear event-level view
- This sale of Yes at 70¢ is equivalent to buying No at 30¢, a cheaper entry against a market priced at 71% Yes
$2,590 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xeb67...d696 — Yes, $12,235 (81% win rate)
- 0x3791...158f — No, $4,237
- 0x3a91...ac8f — Yes, $3,310
- 0xfe6c...69b7 — No, $3,272 (63% win rate)
- 0x1711...78ec — No, $3,085 (35% win rate)
- 0x89cd...4d7d — No, $3,069 (62% win rate)
- 0x43a6...8b32 — No, $3,007
- 0x5d63...2cbf — Yes, $3,000
- 0xdec1...efe6 — Yes, $2,246
- 0xba21...881c — Yes, $2,000
