Part of: MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether MegaETH’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $800 million exactly 24 hours after launch. The market only counts a real token launch, excluding locked or non-swappable tokens, and resolves based on the most liquid price source. If MegaETH does not launch a token by late June 2026, the market resolves under the contract rules by the July 1, 2026 resolution date.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,216.
Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
82% win-rate event trader
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a fresh cross-market MegaETH bet, suggesting a repeat event trader pressing a broader thesis rather than random flow.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k on $345k invested
- They have traded 48 markets across 25 related events, including 3 MegaETH markets for $26.4k total
- Bought Yes at 62¢ in a liquid market, showing conviction on a broader MegaETH launch valuation thesis
$2,231 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is making a fresh cross-market bet across this MegaETH launch event, suggesting a deliberate thesis rather than a one-off punt.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $50k overall
- They have bet 48 markets across 25 events, including 3 related MegaETH markets for $26k total
- They bought Yes at 62¢ in an active market, suggesting they still see upside after a 16.5-point weekly move
$1,982 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable bettor with an 82% win rate is making a fresh cross-market thesis bet on the same MegaETH launch event at 62¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $50k lifetime
- They've bet almost $28k across 3 MegaETH-related markets, suggesting a deliberate event thesis rather than a one-off punt
- Bought Yes at 62¢ in a fairly liquid market, implying they still see value even after the market rose 14.5% this week
$2,108 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate event specialist
A proven profitable bettor with an 82% win rate is taking a fresh Yes position on MegaETH after making correlated bets across multiple related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $50k lifetime
- They have traded 48 related markets across 25 events, and put $25.8k into 3 markets tied to this same event
- They bought Yes at 62¢, a level that suggests they still see upside despite the market already pricing this outcome as the favorite
$1,674 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% winner, multi-market thesis
A profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is building the same thesis across three related MegaETH launch markets, making this a copyable directional bet despite only moderate size.
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up nearly $50k across 39 resolved markets
- They put over $10.5k across 3 related MegaETH launch markets, showing a clear event-wide view
- Bought Yes at 63¢ while the market has already risen 16 points this week, signaling continued conviction
$2,513 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
82% win-rate thesis bettor
Profitable wallet with an 82% win rate is building a repeat thesis across three related MegaETH markets, adding a meaningful $4.4k Yes position as the market trends up.
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up nearly $50k on Polymarket.
- They have put $23.9k across 3 related MegaETH markets, which looks like a deliberate event-wide thesis.
- They bought Yes at 57¢ while the market was already moving higher, showing conviction rather than profit-taking.
$4,444 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put $3.2k into the same bearish MegaETH thesis across related markets, suggesting real conviction despite no track record yet.
- This wallet is under 4 days old but has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling $10.6k
- It just put $3.2k into the bearish MegaETH view across 2 related markets, showing concentrated conviction
- One entry was at 66¢ and the market is now 48¢, so this trader already caught a strong move
$3,170 on No
81% win-rate event trader
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate is making a fresh cross-market thesis bet on MegaETH at 56¢, suggesting informed conviction across this token launch event.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $34k overall
- They have put $15.2k across 3 related MegaETH markets, pointing to a broader event thesis
- They bought Yes at 56¢ in a market with decent liquidity, implying they still see upside after a 22% weekly move
$3,086 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
81% win-rate thesis bettor
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate is building a consistent thesis across three related MegaETH markets, adding a meaningful $5k Yes bet into a market already trending up.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $34k lifetime
- They have put $11.6k across 3 related MegaETH markets, showing a clear event-wide view
- Bought Yes at 56¢ while this market is up 8 points in a day and 23 points in a week
$5,008 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xb465...0d8d — Outcome 97121550, $82,831 (95% win rate)
- 0xc452...1cd2 — Outcome 97121550, $10,974 (75% win rate)
- 0xb7b3...be6c — Outcome 97121550, $10,000
- 0xde28...a563 — Outcome 97121550, $6,564
- 0x3e27...c659 — Outcome 97121550, $5,350
- 0xcd26...0574 — Outcome 97121550, $5,000
- 0xed88...0dfd — Outcome 97121550, $3,500
- 0x6569...1585 — Outcome 97121550, $3,383
- 0x7fcc...a034 — Outcome 97121550, $3,333
- 0x19f1...5ef4 — Outcome 97121550, $3,190
