Part of: US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Michelsen vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 38.5
This Polymarket tennis market covers the total number of games in the Alex Michelsen vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar US Open ATP match, scheduled for September 4, 2026. The market resolves Over if at least 39 games are completed and Under if 38 or fewer games are played; it remains open if the match is postponed or suspended until completion. Smart money tracking shows $2,300 and one recent signal favoring the Over.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,300.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate is adding $2,300 to an Over position in an exceptionally quiet tennis market.
- This bettor has won 80% of 363 resolved trades and is up $103,223.
- The $2,300 purchase adds to an existing $4,341 Over position, signaling increased conviction.
- The bet is more than 117 times the market’s 24-hour volume, despite a near-even 52% Over price.
$2,300 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xd4c3...60d9 — Outcome 22891646, $4,341 (80% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 22891646, $342 (94% win rate)
- 0xa965...7f73 — Outcome 22891646, $125
- 0x6b1d...a01a — Outcome 22891646, $115
- 0xc774...f218 — Outcome 22891646, $71
- 0xf9b3...5e30 — Outcome 22891646, $47
- 0x968c...2202 — Outcome 22891646, $10
- 0x655e...45f8 — Outcome 22891646, $9
- 0x03dd...49c8 — Outcome 22891646, $8
- 0x1cae...d01c — Outcome 22891646, $6
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