Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar
This Polymarket tennis market tracks who will advance between Taylor Fritz and Rafael Jodar at the 2026 Mubadala Citi DC Open. It is scheduled for August 2, 2026, and resolves by August 9 if a winner is determined; 2 smart-money signals totaling $4,133 are currently tracked.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $167,960.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins 16-wallet Jodar cluster
A proven bettor with a meaningful edge added to an already large Jodar position amid coordinated 16-wallet buying, though the trade has since moved to 0%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 137 resolved trades and is up $84,737 lifetime.
- Sixteen wallets bought Rafael Jodar in the same window, committing $83,311 in coordinated flow.
- The wallet added $3,000 at 37¢ after already investing $20,378, but Jodar has since fallen to 0%.
$3,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 79%
16-wallet Jodar buying cluster
A 16-wallet, $83,311 one-sided push toward Rafael Jodar is a strong directional signal, although this wallet's sale appears to be profit-taking from an existing Taylor Fritz position.
- Sixteen wallets bought Rafael Jodar for a combined $83,311, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
- This trader sold Taylor Fritz at 70¢ after previously holding the position, so the sale itself looks more like profit-taking than a fresh contrarian bet.
- The equivalent trade is buying Rafael Jodar at 30¢, implying roughly a 3.3x gross payout if the upset occurs.
$1,133 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 63%
17-wallet cluster backs Fritz
A heavily coordinated Taylor Fritz position included 17 wallets and several highly profitable bettors, though the market is now fully priced and the opposite-side activity makes it mainly a historical signal.
- 17 wallets, including a four-wallet funded group, bought Taylor Fritz for nearly $89,000.
- One participant wins 94% of 157 resolved bets and is up $1.35 million; another wins 92% of 25.
- The market has since moved to 100%, so this is more useful as a studied entry signal than a live trade; opposite-side positioning also reduces directional clarity.
$88,862 on Taylor Fritz
Sharp bettor scaling into Fritz
A proven bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Taylor Fritz position.
- This bettor wins 76% of 221 resolved trades and is up $357,765.
- The 63¢ purchase adds to an existing $3,568 Taylor Fritz position, signaling continued conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 266 markets for $1.79M, providing a substantial track record beyond this match.
$2,248 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 76%
94% winner scales into Fritz
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding $18,351 to an existing Taylor Fritz position at 62¢.
- This bettor has won 94% of 296 resolved positions and earned $1.11 million in profit.
- The trade adds $18,351 to an existing $29,598 Taylor Fritz position, signaling strong conviction rather than routine entry.
- The bettor has traded 461 markets across 364 events, providing an unusually large sample of proven performance.
$18,351 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp bettor scaling into Fritz
A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge is adding another $9,000 to an existing Taylor Fritz position at 60%.
- This bettor wins 79% of 39 resolved trades while buying at average odds of just 51%.
- The wallet has earned $47,003 and is adding $9,000 to an existing Taylor Fritz position.
- The 60¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Fritz being priced as a 60% favorite.
$2,939 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record serial tennis bettor
A proven bettor with 91 wins from 91 resolved positions and a substantial edge is adding to a Taylor Fritz position.
- This bettor has won 100% of 91 resolved trades, with a 48% average entry price and $69,052 in profit.
- They actively trade across 45 events and 48 markets, indicating a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager.
- The $1,500 purchase adds to an existing Taylor Fritz position at 63¢, implying strong conviction despite the market pricing Fritz at 62%.
$1,500 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 99%
Perfect-record bettor adds to Fritz
A highly proven bettor with 74 wins from 74 resolved positions and a 43-point edge is adding $5,000 to an existing Taylor Fritz position.
- This bettor has won 74 of 74 resolved positions, earning $211,018 on roughly $1.2 million invested.
- The 57% average entry price versus a 100% win rate indicates a substantial historical edge.
- They added $5,000 at 63¢ while already holding $16,001 in Taylor Fritz, signaling increased conviction.
$5,000 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% win-rate bettor adds to Fritz
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Taylor Fritz position amid a 55x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 18 of 19 resolved trades, with a $75,216 lifetime profit and 56% average entry price.
- They are scaling into Taylor Fritz at 60¢, already holding $7,377 in the same outcome.
- Market volume is running 55 times above its historical average, adding support to the directional trade.
$4,426 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% winner backs Rafael Jodar
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.5M profit made a fresh $23,700 position on Rafael Jodar amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 167 of 174 resolved positions, with $6.5M in lifetime profit.
- They placed a fresh $23,700 position on Rafael Jodar around 41.8%, despite the market pricing him near 40%.
- The trade coincided with a 180x historical volume spike, adding weight to the directional signal.
$23,700 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 10724016, $167,557 (96% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 10724016, $60,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x20b8...aa04 — Outcome 10724016, $34,400 (74% win rate)
- 0xedc7...12cd — Outcome 10724016, $28,127 (32% win rate)
- 0x772b...1840 — Outcome 10724016, $20,378 (79% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 10724016, $10,329 (64% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 10724016, $10,118 (57% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 10724016, $10,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 10724016, $9,403 (72% win rate)
- 0x6295...6abe — Outcome 10724016, $9,386 (100% win rate)
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