Part of: National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,113.

Notable Trades

Four-wallet cluster backs Daniel Merida

Four wallets, including a proven 79% winner, added $8,895 to Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a 30.7x volume spike and an 18-point price move.

Four wallets put $8,895 on Daniel Merida Aguilar, with the market seeing a 30.7x volume surge and an 18-point price move.
One bettor wins 79% of 48 bets and is up $13,638, while another serial trader has a 79% win rate across 646 markets.
The cluster is adding to existing Daniel Merida Aguilar positions, signaling increased conviction rather than a one-off trade.

$35,991 on Daniel Merida Aguilar

Linked cluster backed Learner Tien

A linked 12-wallet cluster committed $54,317 to Learner Tien alongside multiple profitable bettors, though the market has already moved to 100%.

Twelve wallets sharing a funder bought Learner Tien for $54,317, indicating unusually concentrated conviction.
Several participants have strong records, including an 81% bettor up $41,718 and a 72% bettor up $91,800.
The purchases came around 50–70¢, but Learner Tien is now priced at 100%, so the original entry is no longer available.

$54,317 on Learner Tien

New wallet scaling into Learner Tien

A very new wallet is repeatedly scaling into Learner Tien alongside a 124.8x pre-event volume spike, though its proven record is still limited.

A wallet less than 9 hours old has already invested $21,500 in Learner Tien, including this additional $8,500.
The market saw a 124.8x surge over its historical trading volume, supporting the significance of the directional move.
The wallet is 2-0 on resolved bets, but that track record is too small to establish a durable edge.

$8,502 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp bettor scales into Learner Tien

A proven, highly profitable serial trader is adding $3,305 to an existing Learner Tien position at 65¢.

This bettor has won 80% of 56 resolved trades and is up $40,001 lifetime.
They are adding $3,305 to an existing Learner Tien position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
The wallet has traded across 37 events with $120,025 in total volume, showing a consistent cross-market approach.

$3,305 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 67595109, $54,769 (60% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 67595109, $5,981 (85% win rate)
0x5ef2...f473 — Outcome 67595109, $2,813 (43% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 67595109, $2,707 (71% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 67595109, $2,569 (95% win rate)
0x02d8...0c91 — Outcome 67595109, $2,532 (87% win rate)
0x1b8f...cca7 — Outcome 67595109, $2,500 (65% win rate)
0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 67595109, $2,464 (74% win rate)
0x820a...ca12 — Outcome 67595109, $2,462 (52% win rate)
0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 67595109, $2,418 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

I'm sorry, but I cannot assist with that request.

Covers 1 related market

Zizou Bergs wins in Quebec City

Covers 1 related market

Marvin Moeller will beat Brancaccio

Covers 1 related market

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeats Marin Cilic

Covers 1 related market

National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner Tien$102,113 tracked4 signalsSportsTennisGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.