Part of: National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,804.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

30-wallet cluster backs Jodar

A 30-wallet linked cluster and a serial trader with a 99.6% win rate backed Rafael Jodar, although the position is now closed and the market has already reached 100%.

  • Thirty linked wallets bought Rafael Jodar for a combined $166,466, a strong coordinated directional signal.
  • This bettor has won 241 of 242 resolved trades and is up $38,289 lifetime.
  • The $2,500 entry at 76¢ is no longer actionable because Jodar is now priced at 100% and the wallet has closed its position.

$2,500 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 99%

30-wallet coordinated winner

A $30,000 purchase at 66¢ aligned with 30 wallets linked to three funders, and the outcome has since reached 100%, though the trader's win rate shows only modest edge over its typical entry price.

  • Thirty wallets bought Rafael Jodar for a combined $166,466, with three wallets linked to a shared funder.
  • This $30,000 trade entered at 66¢ and the outcome has since reached 100%.
  • The trader wins 77% of 174 resolved bets and is up $471,085, though its average winning entry price is also relatively high at 74¢.

$30,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial trader buys Jodar

A highly active, profitable serial trader bought Rafael Jodar during an 84.6x pre-event volume surge, providing a meaningful though not exceptional directional signal.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 83,352 resolved trades and is up $467,357 lifetime.
  • The $1,396 Jodar purchase arrived during an 84.6x spike in historical market activity.
  • The trade was entered at 76¢, implying the bettor sees Jodar as more likely than the current 74% market estimate.

$2,931 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp serial bettor buys Jodar

A highly experienced bettor with 975 resolved trades, a 78% win rate, and a substantial edge bought Rafael Jodar amid an 84.6x volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 975 resolved trades and is up $514,682.
  • The trader’s results imply a strong edge: 78% wins while entering at an average 60% price.
  • Rafael Jodar attracted an 84.6x historical volume spike, supporting the fresh $1,210 position.

$1,200 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp serial bettor buys Jodar

A highly experienced bettor with 975 resolved trades, a 78% win rate, and a substantial edge bought Rafael Jodar amid an 84.6x volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 975 resolved trades and is up $514,682.
  • The trader’s results imply a strong edge: 78% wins while entering at an average 60% price.
  • Rafael Jodar attracted an 84.6x historical volume spike, supporting the fresh $1,210 position.

$1,500 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp serial bettor buys Jodar

A highly experienced bettor with 975 resolved trades, a 78% win rate, and a substantial edge bought Rafael Jodar amid an 84.6x volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 975 resolved trades and is up $514,682.
  • The trader’s results imply a strong edge: 78% wins while entering at an average 60% price.
  • Rafael Jodar attracted an 84.6x historical volume spike, supporting the fresh $1,210 position.

$1,210 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial trader buys Jodar

A highly active, profitable serial trader bought Rafael Jodar during an 84.6x pre-event volume surge, providing a meaningful though not exceptional directional signal.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 83,352 resolved trades and is up $467,357 lifetime.
  • The $1,396 Jodar purchase arrived during an 84.6x spike in historical market activity.
  • The trade was entered at 76¢, implying the bettor sees Jodar as more likely than the current 74% market estimate.

$1,396 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 70%

Elite bettor scaling into Jodar

A highly proven tennis bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Rafael Jodar position at 74%.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 1,137 resolved positions and is up $166,889 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,500 to an existing Jodar position, signaling continued conviction despite the price near 74%.
  • Their average winning entry is 62%, implying a strong historical edge over market pricing.

$1,500 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 93%

97% win-rate bettor adds to Jodar

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,499 to an existing Rafael Jodar position at 74%.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 797 resolved trades and earned $168,743 in profit.
  • The $1,499 purchase adds to an existing Rafael Jodar position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
  • The entry at 74¢ implies the bettor values Rafael Jodar materially above the market’s current 74% probability.

$1,499 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp bettors scaling into Jodar

Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, added $6,153 to Rafael Jodar at 73–74¢ despite already holding positions.

  • Two bettors have won 97% and 92% of more than 1,900 resolved trades, with substantial profits.
  • Three wallets added $6,153 to Rafael Jodar at 73–74¢, reinforcing the same tennis position.
  • The purchases add to existing Jodar holdings, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.

$4,068 on Rafael Jodar

Top Holders

  1. 0x6485...a265 Outcome 87896871, $18,805 (59% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 87896871, $17,043 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xac86...985b Outcome 87896871, $15,001 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x9243...658e Outcome 87896871, $15,000 (87% win rate)
  5. 0x461d...db9e Outcome 87896871, $11,060 (85% win rate)
  6. 0xbdb0...f8ba Outcome 87896871, $9,000 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xd575...e017 Outcome 87896871, $6,688 (80% win rate)
  8. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 87896871, $5,802 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x58b3...653c Outcome 87896871, $4,000 (45% win rate)
  10. 0x88b5...a041 Outcome 87896871, $4,000 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina or France win

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye avoids defeat

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil-Japan match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye-US match gets played

Covers 3 related markets

Japan-Sweden match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Several favorites could win the World Cup

Covers 7 related markets

Argentina will not win

Covers 3 related markets

Bitcoin dips to $60K, not $50K

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

No deal by May

Covers 2 related markets

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

ResolvedNational Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet$47,804 tracked10 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Corentin Moutet in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Corentin Moutet. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Rafael Jodar
77¢
63¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

17d ago

$2,500 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

17d ago

$30,000 on Rafael Jodar at 66¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$2,931 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$1,200 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$1,500 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$1,210 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$1,396 on Rafael Jodar at 76¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$1,500 on Rafael Jodar at 74¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$1,499 on Rafael Jodar at 74¢

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

18d ago

$4,068 on Rafael Jodar at 74¢

Related Theses