Part of: UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
This Polymarket market tracks whether Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim will last beyond the 2.5-round threshold. It resolves after the June 6, 2026 fight, with final resolution expected by June 7, 2026 UTC; PolySpotter currently tracks $7,650 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $7,650.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable whale on quiet market
A highly profitable wallet made a $7.6k Over bet that dwarfs this quiet UFC market’s normal volume.
- This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 820 resolved trades.
- The $7.6k buy is nearly 30x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Over has already moved up 16.5 points this week, and this trade adds to that momentum.
$7,650 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Under, $11,776
- 0xa710...23c4 — Over, $11,322 (54% win rate)
- 0x0267...7f7e — Over, $233 (70% win rate)
- 0xac65...cfe6 — Over, $177 (98% win rate)
- 0x8776...f2ef — Under, $150
- 0x8f14...ca5a — Under, $78
- 0x2ed3...274c — Over, $65
- 0x8098...5646 — Over, $64
- 0xf46b...c51d — Over, $64
- 0xc7a9...87e2 — Under, $53
