Part of: UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

O/U 4.5 Rounds

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $22,237.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader makes a $22K Under bet

A proven serial trader with $810k in profits made a concentrated Under bet that exceeded the market's recent volume in a thin order book.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 100 resolved trades and is up $810,374 lifetime.
  • The $22,237 Under position was more than twice the market's 24-hour volume, despite only $1,421 in listed liquidity.
  • The 42¢ entry is below the current estimated 44% Under probability, offering favorable copy-trade pricing if available below 52¢.

$22,237 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7bc1...8db4 Outcome 15019654, $53,111 (70% win rate)
  2. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 15019654, $3,888 (48% win rate)
  3. 0x4608...d049 Outcome 15019654, $3,000 (79% win rate)
  4. 0xa710...23c4 Outcome 15019654, $2,364 (52% win rate)
  5. 0xc308...7b09 Outcome 15019654, $2,000 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 15019654, $1,178 (89% win rate)
  7. 0x4156...997e Outcome 15019654, $732 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x0c0d...f8be Outcome 15019654, $553
  9. 0x6aeb...2b0b Outcome 15019654, $476
  10. 0xafbe...cfff Outcome 15019654, $345

Related Theses

LeBron returns to Cleveland

Covers 4 related markets

SpaceX IPO pricing volatile

Covers 3 related markets

McKinney will win MI-13 nomination

Covers 2 related markets

Crowley defeats Hong in primary

Covers 2 related markets

Wesley Bell defeats Cori Bush

Covers 2 related markets

Alito retires in Q4 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Israel-Iran ceasefire holds through August

Covers 3 related markets

Tesla deliveries exceed 475k

Covers 1 related market

Kelloff wins CO-03 Democratic nomination

Covers 1 related market

Sánchez Palomino wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

O/U 4.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. "Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Under
54¢
46¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

O/U 4.5 Rounds

7d ago

$22,237 on Under at 42¢

Related Theses