Part of: Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

This prediction market covers the Oeiras 4 tennis match between Jaime Faria and Emilio Nava, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $6,000 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent sharp activity favoring Emilio Nava.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Emilio Nava in the Oeiras 4, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Emilio Nava. This market will resolve to 'Emilio Nava' if Emilio Nava advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,333.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp trader flips to Faria

Sharp profitable tennis trader with an 83% resolved win rate made a latest directional flip equivalent to buying Jaime Faria at 55¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $24,066 lifetime.
  • They have traded 93 similar events with an 83% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable tennis edge.
  • Latest move was away from Emilio Nava at 45¢, equivalent to buying Jaime Faria at 55¢.

$3,007 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 83%

High-volume sports mover

Moderately interesting because a high-volume sports trader bought Nava before a rapid 13-point move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.

  • A high-volume sports bettor with 811 resolved bets put $6,000 on Nava at 43¢.
  • The trade lined up with a fast 13-point move, with Nava now around 52¢.
  • Entry at 43¢ implies they saw Nava as mispriced before the market repriced.

$6,000 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 65%

81% winner backing underdog

Proven profitable tennis bettor with an 81% win rate and $249k lifetime profit bought Emilio Nava despite the price later drifting lower.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 65 sports events with the same 81% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought Emilio Nava at 54¢, implying they saw him as more likely than the market’s near-coinflip price.

$1,500 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 81%

81% sharp backs Nava

Surface because a highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet joined a three-wallet one-sided Emilio Nava cluster on a live tennis market, with current price below the sharp entry.

  • A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249K lifetime bought Emilio Nava at 54¢.
  • Three wallets all backed the same side for $3.8K total, including one equivalent Nava buy via selling Faria.
  • The market has swung sharply and Nava is now around 50¢, below the sharp bettor’s 54¢ entry.

$3,826 on Emilio Nava

Proven tennis sharp buying Nava

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 79% win rate and +$403k P&L bought $5k of Emilio Nava, moving the market sharply upward.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $403k lifetime.
  • They have traded 707 markets across 681 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The $5k buy pushed Emilio Nava sharply higher, and the current 74¢ price is below their 78¢ entry.

$5,000 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5268...135d Jaime Faria, $15,078 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x8b52...568e Emilio Nava, $13,881 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Jaime Faria, $6,736 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x479e...91c3 Emilio Nava, $6,402 (79% win rate)
  5. 0xe4d3...c2f0 Emilio Nava, $5,600 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x3f75...0fbf Jaime Faria, $4,170
  7. 0x710c...78ea Emilio Nava, $3,654 (91% win rate)
  8. 0xae30...079e Emilio Nava, $2,778 (81% win rate)
  9. 0x32b4...8b21 Emilio Nava, $2,735 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x98db...dd17 Jaime Faria, $2,613 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

6dOeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava$19,333 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames
Jaime Faria
48¢
Emilio Nava
52¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Emilio Nava in the Oeiras 4, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Emilio Nava. This market will resolve to 'Emilio Nava' if Emilio Nava advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Emilio Nava
51¢
35¢
20¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

5m ago

$3,007 on Jaime Faria at 55¢

55¢48¢7¢

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

5m ago

$6,000 on Emilio Nava at 43¢

43¢52¢9¢

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

22m ago

$1,500 on Emilio Nava at 54¢

54¢52¢2¢

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

32m ago

$3,826 on Emilio Nava at 54¢

54¢52¢2¢

Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava

1h ago

$5,000 on Emilio Nava at 78¢

78¢52¢26¢

Related Theses