Part of: Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Nava
This prediction market covers the Oeiras 4 tennis match between Jaime Faria and Emilio Nava, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $6,000 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent sharp activity favoring Emilio Nava.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Emilio Nava in the Oeiras 4, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Emilio Nava. This market will resolve to 'Emilio Nava' if Emilio Nava advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,333.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp trader flips to Faria
Sharp profitable tennis trader with an 83% resolved win rate made a latest directional flip equivalent to buying Jaime Faria at 55¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $24,066 lifetime.
- They have traded 93 similar events with an 83% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable tennis edge.
- Latest move was away from Emilio Nava at 45¢, equivalent to buying Jaime Faria at 55¢.
$3,007 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 83%
High-volume sports mover
Moderately interesting because a high-volume sports trader bought Nava before a rapid 13-point move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.
- A high-volume sports bettor with 811 resolved bets put $6,000 on Nava at 43¢.
- The trade lined up with a fast 13-point move, with Nava now around 52¢.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they saw Nava as mispriced before the market repriced.
$6,000 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 65%
81% winner backing underdog
Proven profitable tennis bettor with an 81% win rate and $249k lifetime profit bought Emilio Nava despite the price later drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
- They have bet across 65 sports events with the same 81% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They bought Emilio Nava at 54¢, implying they saw him as more likely than the market’s near-coinflip price.
$1,500 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 81%
81% sharp backs Nava
Surface because a highly profitable 81% win-rate wallet joined a three-wallet one-sided Emilio Nava cluster on a live tennis market, with current price below the sharp entry.
- A bettor who wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $249K lifetime bought Emilio Nava at 54¢.
- Three wallets all backed the same side for $3.8K total, including one equivalent Nava buy via selling Faria.
- The market has swung sharply and Nava is now around 50¢, below the sharp bettor’s 54¢ entry.
$3,826 on Emilio Nava
Proven tennis sharp buying Nava
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 79% win rate and +$403k P&L bought $5k of Emilio Nava, moving the market sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $403k lifetime.
- They have traded 707 markets across 681 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5k buy pushed Emilio Nava sharply higher, and the current 74¢ price is below their 78¢ entry.
$5,000 on Emilio Nava | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x5268...135d — Jaime Faria, $15,078 (52% win rate)
- 0x8b52...568e — Emilio Nava, $13,881 (65% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Jaime Faria, $6,736 (73% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Emilio Nava, $6,402 (79% win rate)
- 0xe4d3...c2f0 — Emilio Nava, $5,600 (67% win rate)
- 0x3f75...0fbf — Jaime Faria, $4,170
- 0x710c...78ea — Emilio Nava, $3,654 (91% win rate)
- 0xae30...079e — Emilio Nava, $2,778 (81% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Emilio Nava, $2,735 (60% win rate)
- 0x98db...dd17 — Jaime Faria, $2,613 (50% win rate)
