Part of: Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether OpenSea’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $1 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. If the token does not launch by the market’s stated deadline, or its FDV is at or below $1B at the resolution time, the market resolves to “No.” PolySpotter currently tracks $1,028 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal from a 95% winner buying NO.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,028.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, FDV

Notable Trades

95% winner buying NO

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 95% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $699 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,028 of No in a quiet market with only a few thousand dollars of recent volume.
  • Entry at 87¢ is a high-conviction bet that Opensea’s FDV will not exceed $1B one day after launch.

$1,028 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd4f4...a781 — Yes, $22,737 (37% win rate)
  2. 0x05d1...2bb3 — No, $14,007 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x713d...53a9 — Yes, $7,758 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x1398...a875 — No, $7,500 (79% win rate)
  5. 0xf2c1...eeea — Yes, $5,896
  6. 0xe60f...f4b4 — No, $5,000 (93% win rate)
  7. 0x89cd...4d7d — No, $4,000 (44% win rate)
  8. 0x5bc4...f44f — No, $3,849 (90% win rate)
  9. 0x8004...cd61 — Yes, $3,823
  10. 0xe131...7594 — Yes, $3,694 (68% win rate)

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

163dOpensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?$1,028 tracked1 signalCryptoPre-MarketFDV
Yes
13¢
No
87¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No”
89¢
86¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

18d ago

$1,028 on No at 87¢

87¢→87¢