Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
7 signals across 3 markets · $12,513 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether OpenSea’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $500 million one day after launch. The market is tied to a future OpenSea token launch and resolves using the most liquid available price source if the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable. PolySpotter highlights smart-money activity, including signals from a profitable serial event trader and an 85% win-rate crypto bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked sharp wallet buying NO
A profitable 77% winner is buying No, with linked-wallet backing and cross-market positioning on the same OpenSea token launch theme.
$3,666Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 12.6 - Profitable linked wallet buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet bought No on a thin OpenSea FDV market, with linked-wallet clustering and immediate favorable price movement supporting the trade.
$1,157Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 11.1 - 92% serial cross-market bettor
Surface because a highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying No on the OpenSea FDV threshold market.
$2,673Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial event trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader with 62 resolved bets sold No here, which converts to a Yes buy around 40¢ and stands out despite the modest trade size.
$1,670Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 7.0 - Profitable linked wallet buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet bought No on a thin OpenSea FDV market, with linked-wallet clustering and immediate favorable price movement supporting the trade.
$1,044Wallet win rate: 41%Score: 5.5 - 85% win-rate crypto bettor
A serial cross-market trader with an 85% win rate opened a fresh bullish position on this crypto launch market by effectively buying Yes at 40¢.
$1,276Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0 - 95% winner buying NO
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 95% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L.
$1,028Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x16351b…5624$5,867 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 41% wins
- 0x6e2c39…b7f8$2,673 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x9cd561…ed17$1,670 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x28b340…30c8$1,276 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x60b4ac…f1b8$1,028 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
FAQs
What are the odds OpenSea’s token FDV is above $500M after launch?
The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied odds that OpenSea’s token fully diluted valuation will be above $500 million one day after launch. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside notable smart-money positions.
What does this OpenSea FDV prediction market cover?
This event covers whether OpenSea’s token reaches a fully diluted valuation above $500 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch, assuming the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable.
Who is betting on the OpenSea FDV market?
PolySpotter has tracked about $2,946 in smart-money activity across this event, including signals from a profitable serial event trader and an 85% win-rate crypto bettor.
When does the OpenSea FDV market resolve?
The market resolves after OpenSea launches a token, using the FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the day after launch. If OpenSea does not launch a token by the deadline specified in the market rules, the market resolves according to those rules.
How is OpenSea token FDV calculated for this market?
The market uses the most liquid available price source after launch to determine the token price, then compares the resulting fully diluted valuation against the $500 million threshold.