Part of: Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether OpenSea’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $300 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after it launches. It resolves Yes if the token is publicly transferable and tradable and the most liquid price source shows an FDV over $300M; otherwise it resolves No, including if no token launches by the deadline. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,044 in smart money activity on this market, with recent profitable-wallet signals buying No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,201.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, FDV

Notable Trades

Profitable linked wallet buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet bought No on a thin OpenSea FDV market, with linked-wallet clustering and immediate favorable price movement supporting the trade.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $10.8K lifetime.
  • Three wallets sharing the same funder are aligned on this market, totaling $2.7K in exposure.
  • Their 56¢ No entry has already moved to 69¢, suggesting the market quickly followed their side.

$1,044 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable linked wallet buying NO

Sharp profitable wallet bought No on a thin OpenSea FDV market, with linked-wallet clustering and immediate favorable price movement supporting the trade.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $10.8K lifetime.
  • Three wallets sharing the same funder are aligned on this market, totaling $2.7K in exposure.
  • Their 56¢ No entry has already moved to 69¢, suggesting the market quickly followed their side.

$1,157 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf07...c770 No, $2,848 (30% win rate)
  2. 0xac9b...d4c5 Yes, $2,629 (39% win rate)
  3. 0xb4de...cb5c No, $2,116
  4. 0xd4f4...a781 Yes, $1,558 (37% win rate)
  5. 0xde28...a563 Yes, $802
  6. 0x0c83...0f55 Yes, $711
  7. 0xcdc0...dcd8 Yes, $461
  8. 0x093f...07b4 No, $435
  9. 0xf3fa...7be3 Yes, $341
  10. 0xa109...996a Yes, $295

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Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

144dOpensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?$2,201 tracked2 signalsCryptoPre-MarketFDV
Yes
11¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No
94¢
88¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

50d ago

$1,044 on No at 56¢

56¢89¢33¢

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

52d ago

$1,157 on No at 56¢

56¢89¢33¢

Related Theses