Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,276.
Notable Trades
85% win-rate crypto bettor
A serial cross-market trader with an 85% win rate opened a fresh bullish position on this crypto launch market by effectively buying Yes at 40¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 46 markets and has traded 36 related events
- Their sell of No at 60¢ is effectively a buy of Yes at 40¢, near the current ask
- The market is active but not crowded, and 40¢ suggests they see Opensea launching above this valuation more often than the market does
$1,276 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xd4f4...a781 — Yes, $64,342
- 0x088b...21cc — Yes, $27,296
- 0x8a09...e317 — No, $20,504
- 0x25ab...6321 — Yes, $20,307
- 0x53a2...1d62 — Yes, $17,129
- 0xce03...5608 — No, $10,735
- 0x7996...b669 — No, $9,128
- 0x8251...e150 — No, $9,109
- 0x014c...820c — No, $8,390 (33% win rate)
- 0xe88b...f99f — No, $7,322
