Part of: Patriots vs. Bills
Patriots vs. Bills
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,615.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Seven-wallet Patriots accumulation
Seven wallets made roughly $50.7K of Patriots-equivalent positioning, including profitable bettors, though opposing Bills activity and the Patriots’ price decline temper the signal.
- Seven wallets built about $50.7K in Patriots-equivalent exposure, with several adding to existing positions.
- Two of the Patriots buyers have strong records: one wins 63% with about $2.0M profit, and another wins 68% with about $261K profit.
- The signal is contested: five wallets also bought Bills, and Patriots odds have fallen to 38% from many buyers’ higher entries.
$52,974 on Patriots
Six-wallet Bills cluster with proven sharp
A $153K six-wallet Bills cluster coincides with a sharp bettor’s strong long-term record and a substantial market move.
- Six wallets bought Bills for a combined $152,972, with several adding to existing Bills positions.
- One major buyer has an 88% win rate across 1,021 resolved bets and is up $4.68M lifetime.
- Bills rose 18 points over the past day; the cluster entered around 52¢, now 56¢.
$12,132 on Bills
Profitable serial trader adding Patriots
A highly profitable bettor with 551 resolved trades added to a large existing Patriots position amid a sharp volume spike, though the market now trades below their entry.
- This bettor is up $1.95M across 551 resolved trades, with a 62% win rate.
- They added to an existing $119,627 Patriots position as market volume surged to 10.7 times its usual level.
- Their new entry was 42¢, while the market is now around 36¢.
$1,442 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 60%
Proven bettor with 89% win rate
A highly profitable bettor with 89% wins across more than 3,100 resolved positions bought Bills at 74¢, though the trade is modest relative to the liquid market.
- This bettor has won 89% of 3,117 resolved positions and is up $5.65M.
- They bought Bills at 74¢ in a highly liquid market; their long record makes the position worth watching.
- This wallet has traded across 1,578 events, showing extensive experience beyond a single market.
$1,066 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Bills, $156,042 (87% win rate)
- 0xdad3...61cf — Bills, $63,303 (100% win rate)
- 0xa904...d20c — Bills, $59,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x7f8e...4487 — Bills, $30,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x664a...fc5f — Bills, $24,704 (54% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Bills, $18,010 (66% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Bills, $11,431 (76% win rate)
- 0x8180...f4da — Bills, $8,791 (58% win rate)
- 0xb87b...3626 — Bills, $7,821 (51% win rate)
- 0x4a3b...2eb3 — Bills, $7,000 (60% win rate)
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