Part of: Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Perugia match between Henrique Rocha and Dusan Lajovic, scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 11, 2026 if a winner is determined within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,021 in smart money and 1 signal, including recent sharp activity buying Rocha.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Dusan Lajovic in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Henrique Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,136.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
97% serial cross-market bettor
Surfaced because this is a highly proven serial cross-market bettor, though the SELL appears to close an existing Rocha position rather than a clean fresh bet.
- This bettor has won 97% of 1,437 resolved bets and is up about $61.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 75 events and over $519K of similar activity.
- This trade effectively leaned toward Lajovic at 32¢, but it may have been closing a prior Rocha position.
$1,021 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp cluster buying Rocha
High-scoring one-sided cluster on Rocha with a 136x volume spike, strong price momentum, and participation from profitable/serial sports traders including an 82% winner.
- A bettor who has won 82% of 123 resolved bets is buying the same side here.
- 4 wallets put $12.8k on Rocha, creating a 136x volume spike before the match.
- Rocha has already moved up 31.5 points, and the cluster’s average entry is around 82¢.
$12,815 on Henrique Rocha
Serial sports bettor buying breakout
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 70% resolved record bought Henrique Rocha and coincided with a major price breakout, though the market has since retraced below their entry.
- This bettor has won 70% of 33 resolved bets and is up $2,005 lifetime.
- They have traded across 31 sports events, suggesting a repeatable tennis/sports betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- Their $2,500 buy helped push Rocha above the prior range, and the current price is now below their 85¢ entry.
$2,500 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 70%
92% serial sports sharp
A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate and $158k lifetime profit is buying Henrique Rocha at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $158k lifetime.
- They have traded across 605 events with a strong long-term record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- The $2.8k buy is larger than this market’s entire 24h volume, showing real conviction at 51¢.
$2,800 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x6a88...b859 — Henrique Rocha, $14,958 (99% win rate)
- 0x5912...6f45 — Henrique Rocha, $9,500 (99% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Dusan Lajovic, $8,987 (69% win rate)
- 0xf1bf...e36b — Dusan Lajovic, $4,194
- 0xcd3f...8e2b — Henrique Rocha, $3,224 (96% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Dusan Lajovic, $2,690 (47% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Dusan Lajovic, $2,615 (50% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Henrique Rocha, $2,183 (50% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Dusan Lajovic, $1,502 (77% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Dusan Lajovic, $1,485 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran keeps airspace open
Covers 3 related markets
US-Iran deal in late May
Covers 2 related markets
Jaume Munar beats Basavareddy
Covers 1 related market
