Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
This prediction market tracks whether the Philadelphia Phillies or Baltimore Orioles will win their MLB game on August 2 at 1:35 PM ET. The market has $27,765 in tracked smart money and resolves after the game is completed, or 50-50 if it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,349.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors scaling into Philadelphia
Two highly profitable bettors and a third wallet jointly bought $27,765 of Philadelphia at 57%, alongside a 113.5x volume spike.
- Two participating bettors win 93% and 94% of their trades across hundreds of positions, with combined lifetime profits exceeding $3.6 million.
- Three wallets bought Philadelphia together for $27,765 at 57%, representing roughly 31% of the market’s total volume.
- The coordinated buying coincides with a 113.5x historical volume spike and a 4-point daily price increase.
$22,949 on Philadelphia Phillies
94% winner adds to Phillies
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.1M P&L added another $20,080 to an existing Phillies position.
- This bettor wins 94% of 293 resolved positions and is up $1.1M lifetime.
- They added $20,080 to an existing Phillies position, bringing total investment to roughly $55,000.
- The Phillies are priced at 57%, while this bettor has historically generated a 32-point edge over implied odds.
$20,080 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite serial bettor buys Baltimore
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge is buying Baltimore at 44 cents.
- This bettor has won 83% of 1,351 resolved positions and earned nearly $2.0 million.
- Their results imply a 32-point edge over the average prices paid, making the Baltimore purchase unusually credible.
- The trade buys Baltimore at 44¢, matching the current market price and suggesting a roughly 2.3x payout if they win.
$1,320 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xb209...b744 — Outcome 96523169, $69,381 (81% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 96523169, $59,224 (63% win rate)
- 0x684b...8409 — Outcome 96523169, $25,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xb71b...3c07 — Outcome 96523169, $21,821
- 0x96e1...50aa — Outcome 22710510, $17,718 (54% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 96523169, $7,451 (52% win rate)
- 0x1e77...8c33 — Outcome 96523169, $5,969 (81% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 96523169, $5,226 (58% win rate)
- 0xf2ce...d0ee — Outcome 96523169, $4,497
- 0x3e04...564d — Outcome 96523169, $4,000 (83% win rate)
Related Theses
Argentina won’t win; others favored
Covers 7 related markets
Fed holds rates steady
Covers 2 related markets
No Iran peace deal
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win close defensive game
Covers 3 related markets
England wins high-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
France wins comfortably, clean sheet
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring rout
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder cover low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
