Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

This prediction market tracks whether the Philadelphia Phillies or Baltimore Orioles will win their MLB game on August 2 at 1:35 PM ET. The market has $27,765 in tracked smart money and resolves after the game is completed, or 50-50 if it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,349.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors scaling into Philadelphia

Two highly profitable bettors and a third wallet jointly bought $27,765 of Philadelphia at 57%, alongside a 113.5x volume spike.

  • Two participating bettors win 93% and 94% of their trades across hundreds of positions, with combined lifetime profits exceeding $3.6 million.
  • Three wallets bought Philadelphia together for $27,765 at 57%, representing roughly 31% of the market’s total volume.
  • The coordinated buying coincides with a 113.5x historical volume spike and a 4-point daily price increase.

$22,949 on Philadelphia Phillies

94% winner adds to Phillies

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.1M P&L added another $20,080 to an existing Phillies position.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 293 resolved positions and is up $1.1M lifetime.
  • They added $20,080 to an existing Phillies position, bringing total investment to roughly $55,000.
  • The Phillies are priced at 57%, while this bettor has historically generated a 32-point edge over implied odds.

$20,080 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 91%

Elite serial bettor buys Baltimore

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge is buying Baltimore at 44 cents.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 1,351 resolved positions and earned nearly $2.0 million.
  • Their results imply a 32-point edge over the average prices paid, making the Baltimore purchase unusually credible.
  • The trade buys Baltimore at 44¢, matching the current market price and suggesting a roughly 2.3x payout if they win.

$1,320 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb209...b744 Outcome 96523169, $69,381 (81% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 96523169, $59,224 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x684b...8409 Outcome 96523169, $25,000 (90% win rate)
  4. 0xb71b...3c07 Outcome 96523169, $21,821
  5. 0x96e1...50aa Outcome 22710510, $17,718 (54% win rate)
  6. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 96523169, $7,451 (52% win rate)
  7. 0x1e77...8c33 Outcome 96523169, $5,969 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 96523169, $5,226 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xf2ce...d0ee Outcome 96523169, $4,497
  10. 0x3e04...564d Outcome 96523169, $4,000 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina won’t win; others favored

Covers 7 related markets

Fed holds rates steady

Covers 2 related markets

No Iran peace deal

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win close defensive game

Covers 3 related markets

England wins high-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

France wins comfortably, clean sheet

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder cover low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

7hPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles$44,349 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 2 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

PHI
8
59-53
Final
BAL
0
54-58
PHI -150BAL +124O/U 8
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
31,403
Price History — “Philadelphia Phillies
59¢
54¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

6d ago

$22,949 on Philadelphia Phillies at 57¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

6d ago

$20,080 on Philadelphia Phillies at 57¢

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles

6d ago

$1,320 on Baltimore Orioles at 44¢

Related Theses