RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
This Polymarket asks whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will stop serving as U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services at any point before December 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if RFK Jr. resigns, is removed, or an official departure is announced before the deadline, even if it takes effect later. PolySpotter currently tracks limited smart money activity here, with $1,384 in tracked capital across 1 signal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,384.
Categories: Trump, RFK, Politics, Trump Cabinet
Notable Trades
81% win-rate politics bettor
Surface this because a high-volume trader with an 81% win rate across 870 resolved bets is taking a fresh position on No in a politics market despite recent upside in Yes.
- This bettor wins 81% of their trades across 870 resolved markets and has put over $5.4M to work
- They bought No at 66¢ in a politics market after Yes had jumped 13% this week, signaling a contrarian view
- The market is still fairly small at $8.6k total volume, so a $1.4k buy is meaningful flow
$1,384 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x21d0...ce91 — No, $2,657 (81% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $1,586 (47% win rate)
- 0x8633...a08d — Yes, $1,567 (66% win rate)
- 0x15eb...3fb6 — Yes, $677
- 0x12bb...f88a — Yes, $619
- 0x75d1...7a5f — Yes, $354
- 0xfd39...109d — Yes, $298 (71% win rate)
- 0x2c41...133e — Yes, $214 (59% win rate)
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — Yes, $200 (28% win rate)
- 0x6dd6...f5f4 — No, $200 (72% win rate)
