Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,132.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable high-volume bettor
Moderately interesting because a very high-volume profitable wallet bought Felix during a sharp pre-match move with market volume spiking, though the individual bet is modest versus liquidity.
- This wallet is up about $605K across more than 7,600 resolved trades, despite only winning 53% of them.
- The bet came during an 11x pre-event volume spike and after a fast 20-point price drop, suggesting they may be buying a dip.
- Felix has already moved from their 82¢ entry to 84¢, giving early confirmation of the position.
$3,773 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 53%
88% serial sports winner
A proven 88% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Felix at 84¢ in a liquid tennis market after a sharp intraday move.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 179 bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 103 events and over $525K wagered.
- Bought Felix at 84¢ after a sharp price move, with the market already ticking up to 86¢.
$2,000 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable whale joins underdog cluster
Three wallets bought Brandon Nakashima against the market, including a highly profitable high-volume bettor who flipped after closing a Felix position.
- Three wallets are all backing the 14¢ underdog, totaling $7.8K in the same direction.
- One bettor in the cluster is up $1.7M lifetime across $174M traded and just flipped away from Felix.
- The average entry was about 17¢, while the market has since pulled back to 14¢.
$7,779 on Brandon Nakashima
Serial trader caught momentum
Serial cross-market bettor with a 76% resolved win rate sold Felix before a sharp 20-point move against him, creating a clear equivalent BUY on Nakashima.
- This bettor has won 76% of 235 resolved markets across 43 events, though lifetime profit is roughly flat.
- They sold Felix at 84¢, equivalent to buying Nakashima at 16¢, before Felix dropped to 70¢.
- The market moved 20 points in five minutes, suggesting the trade caught real momentum.
$1,736 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 75%
73% winner fading favorite
A high-volume profitable sports bettor with a 73% record is taking the Brandon Nakashima side by selling Felix Auger-Aliassime after a sharp downward price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 590 resolved trades and is up about $30k lifetime.
- They are effectively backing Brandon Nakashima at 39¢, a contrarian underdog position.
- The trade came during a fast 20-point move against Felix, suggesting sharp momentum behind the fade.
$1,251 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 74%
92% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 92% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Brandon Nakashima, though the market has since moved sharply against them to 0%.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $802K lifetime.
- Three wallets all backed the same underdog side with $7.9K total, including one sell of the favorite that converts to buying Brandon.
- Two wallets have long cross-market histories, with 88% and 92% win rates across dozens of events.
$7,885 on Brandon Nakashima
75% win-rate serial trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Felix Auger-Aliassime at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $402K lifetime.
- They have traded across 486 events with over $2.0M in tracked volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 78¢ follows a 5-point move toward Felix, showing they are still willing to buy after momentum.
$2,570 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active, profitable sports bettor with a 31k-bet history bought Felix Auger-Aliassime, though the position is modest and currently slightly underwater.
- This bettor has won 69% of over 31,000 resolved bets and is up about $264,000 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 412 events with more than $1.7M in tracked volume.
- The bet backs Felix at 79¢, implying confidence in the favorite despite a liquid market.
$2,122 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 69%
Early underdog steam
Pre-match tennis money is moving sharply toward Nakashima, with this bettor entering early at 26¢ before the market repriced to 44¢ despite a mixed wallet record.
- This bettor bought Nakashima at 26¢ before the market moved to 44¢.
- The market saw a 119x volume spike ahead of the match, suggesting broad pre-event interest.
- This wallet is profitable overall, but its 34% win record makes the trader less proven.
$1,589 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 32%
Profitable serial bettor backing underdog
Profitable high-volume bettor bought Nakashima amid a major pre-match volume spike and same-direction flow from three wallets.
- This bettor has a long track record: 767 resolved bets and $75,933 in lifetime profit.
- Three wallets all bought Brandon Nakashima, totaling $6,319 in same-direction flow.
- Market activity spiked 100x above normal, suggesting fresh pre-match conviction.
$3,000 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xab82...abe5 — Outcome 18207215, $34,464 (55% win rate)
- 0x187a...a22b — Outcome 18207215, $17,430 (100% win rate)
- 0x2fa0...be6d — Outcome 18207215, $11,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 18207215, $7,200 (46% win rate)
- 0xc9b7...7984 — Outcome 18207215, $6,924 (52% win rate)
- 0x66ec...8c18 — Outcome 18207215, $4,330 (22% win rate)
- 0xf41a...ea2b — Outcome 18207215, $4,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 18207215, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x0753...d174 — Outcome 18207215, $2,965 (100% win rate)
- 0x7eb3...8e52 — Outcome 18207215, $2,949
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