Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Arnaldi and Flavio Cobolli, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $8,653 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from an elite sports bettor buying the underdog and strong backing for the favorite. The market resolves after a winner is determined, with a listed resolution date of June 12, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Flavio Cobolli in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,653.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Elite sports bettor buying underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $750k lifetime profit is buying Matteo Arnaldi at 30¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $750k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market sports track record: 130 events and $531k in tracked cross-market volume.
- Entry at 30¢ on Arnaldi implies they see value in the underdog against the market’s 70% Cobolli price.
$3,894 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 79%
84% winner backing favorite
Sharp tennis bettor with an 84% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Cobolli with meaningful size.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $22.5K lifetime.
- They put $4.8K on Cobolli at 71¢ in a market with under $10K traded today.
- Their average winning entry is 46¢, so this track record is not just from chasing heavy favorites.
$4,760 on Flavio Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xbdc3...c0ea — Flavio Cobolli, $16,649 (76% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Matteo Arnaldi, $13,244 (79% win rate)
- 0x0b14...3ca3 — Flavio Cobolli, $6,704 (84% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Matteo Arnaldi, $3,276 (83% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,945 (88% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,897 (82% win rate)
- 0xe231...93a5 — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,500
- 0x7d58...cfcc — Matteo Arnaldi, $1,284 (54% win rate)
- 0x89c9...9534 — Flavio Cobolli, $1,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x57c8...3d9b — Flavio Cobolli, $800
