Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
40 signals across 5 markets · $997,360 tracked · resolves Jun 12, 2026
This Roland Garros ATP event tracks the prediction market for Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli, with traders betting on which player advances. PolySpotter has tracked $4,760 in smart money activity across this match, including a signal showing 84% winner backing on the favorite.
Markets (5)
- Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli32 signals · $954,983 tracked
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)5 signals · $25,214 tracked
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Cobolli1 signal · $12,750 tracked
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.51 signal · $3,055 tracked
- Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.51 signal · $1,358 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 87% winner joins Cobolli flow
A highly profitable 87% lifetime winner bought Flavio Cobolli, aligning with a 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,256Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 16.0 - 7-wallet Arnaldi whale cluster
A large 7-wallet cluster bought $322K of Arnaldi at 34¢ alongside a major volume spike and profitable serial sports traders, making this a strong directional signal.
$322,395Score: 15.2 - Sharp bettor joins 13-wallet Cobolli flow
Sharp 80% lifetime bettor bought Flavio Cobolli while 13 wallets collectively pushed $209k the same direction amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,133Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 14.6 - 13-wallet Cobolli flow
High-conviction Cobolli-side market flow is notable despite this wallet partly closing its own position, with 13 wallets buying the same side and volume spiking sharply before the match.
$5,010Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 14.6 - Profitable sharp with 7-wallet flow
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Flavio Cobolli at 51¢ alongside a 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$4,080Wallet win rate: 43%Score: 14.0 - 7-wallet same-side surge
High-score tennis alert driven by 7-wallet same-side buying, a 394x volume spike, and a favorable move from 51¢ to 66¢, though the individual wallet is unproven.
$1,856Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 13.5 - New profitable whale backing Cobolli
A very new, already-profitable whale led a $78.6k one-sided move toward Cobolli amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$78,613Score: 12.6 - New profitable wallet joins Arnaldi flow
A very new but already profitable wallet is effectively moving into Arnaldi alongside one-sided flow from four wallets and a major pre-match volume spike.
$4,972Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 12.3 - 90% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with a 90% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3,000 of Cobolli -1.5 at 53¢.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 11.7 - 94% win-rate tennis sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 94% long-run win rate and $1.5M profit bought $16K of Arnaldi despite Cobolli being favored.
$15,979Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 11.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xbee54d…a636$429,027 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xb44e88…c2c6$16,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$15,979 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xf284ad…b9f9$13,491 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xaa7789…15a5$13,380 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 69% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$12,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x9c76cd…c926$11,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x5b6331…11a4$10,414 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 69% wins
- 0xd38ad2…8d26$8,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0x0b14ca…3ca3$8,111 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Arnaldi vs Cobolli odds on Polymarket?
The event market prices the chance that Matteo Arnaldi or Flavio Cobolli advances from their Roland Garros ATP match. Odds move as traders buy and sell shares on each outcome, reflecting the market’s live expectation.
What is the smart money doing on Arnaldi vs Cobolli?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,760 in smart money volume for this event, with a recent signal showing 84% winner backing on the favorite. That suggests tracked sharp wallets are leaning toward the market favorite rather than the underdog.
How does this Roland Garros prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Matteo Arnaldi if Arnaldi advances, and to Flavio Cobolli if Cobolli advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, resolution follows the market’s cancellation and delay rules.
When does Arnaldi vs Cobolli resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by June 12, 2026 at 12:30 UTC, assuming a winner is determined within the allowed window.