Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Arnaldi and Stefanos Tsitsipas, scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 4, 2026 if the match is delayed. PolySpotter is tracking $32,670 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a profitable serial sports bettor and a repeat whale on a quiet match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,670.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp bettor with a 77% resolved-bet win rate and $288k lifetime profit bought Stefanos Tsitsipas at 61¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $288k lifetime.
- They have traded across 98 events with the same strong 77% win rate.
- Buying Stefanos at 61¢ signals confidence despite the market sitting near 60%.
$2,170 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 77%
Repeat whale on quiet match
A repeat large bettor with modest positive history put $30.5k on Tsitsipas, dwarfing this quiet market's 24h volume.
- A repeat big bettor put $30.5k on Tsitsipas, about 7.5x this market’s 24h volume.
- The wallet is modestly profitable, up about $13k across 84 resolved bets.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they see Tsitsipas as meaningfully underpriced despite already being favored.
$30,500 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x1925...4654 — Matteo Arnaldi, $54,547 (44% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $50,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $3,557 (77% win rate)
- 0xb946...2671 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $1,012 (50% win rate)
- 0x0249...5b4b — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $750 (86% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Matteo Arnaldi, $636 (83% win rate)
- 0x058e...a2ac — Matteo Arnaldi, $600
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Stefanos Tsitsipas, $588 (67% win rate)
- 0xaba5...4e0e — Matteo Arnaldi, $513 (70% win rate)
- 0xc60b...d9f7 — Matteo Arnaldi, $500
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