Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
23 signals across 3 markets · $164,619 tracked · resolves Jun 4, 2026
Follow the Roland Garros ATP prediction market for Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas, where traders are pricing which player advances. PolySpotter has tracked $32,670 in smart money activity across this event, including signals from a profitable serial sports bettor and a repeat whale on a quieter match.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets buy the dip
Four profitable wallets bought nearly $14k of Tsitsipas during a major volume spike, including a 90% winner and a whale up $13.5M lifetime.
$13,969Score: 18.5 - 9-wallet sharp sports cluster
Nine wallets, including highly profitable sports traders and a 92% winner, bought the same side as volume spiked and the price moved sharply in their favor.
$27,026Score: 14.2 - 92% winner joins Arnaldi cluster
A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor bought Arnaldi alongside 10 other wallets in a one-sided flow on a fast-moving Roland Garros market.
$1,900Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 13.0 - Profitable tennis cluster
Four wallets, including two highly profitable high-volume bettors, are buying the same side into a sharp 1-day price move despite meaningful opposing flow.
$13,751Score: 13.0 - Profitable sharp joins Tsitsipas flow
Sharp, highly profitable tennis bettor bought Tsitsipas while broader one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike point the same way.
$2,880Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 12.2 - Sharp wallets back underdog
Surface because several profitable wallets, including an 80% winner up $94k, are collectively taking the Tsitsipas side despite the market moving against them.
$9,066Score: 11.6 - Profitable sports bettor cluster
Profitable, high-volume sports bettor bought Tsitsipas alongside one-sided wallet flow and a major pre-match volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 11.4 - 11-wallet Arnaldi surge
Strong coordinated flow into Arnaldi with 11 wallets buying the same side, a 12x volume spike, and supportive price momentum despite the individual wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
$1,075Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 11.0 - 90% winner buying Tsitsipas
Sharp 90% win-rate tennis bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Tsitsipas, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike despite the price moving against the entry.
$2,600Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 10.4 - Pro bettor joins Arnaldi flow
High-score tennis alert driven by a profitable high-volume sports trader joining 11-wallet one-sided Arnaldi flow amid a major volume spike.
$1,002Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 10.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x45e40d…7e20$30,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0x966cd8…9b1a$16,265 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x84cb17…28ad$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x1eaf5d…9bf0$7,375 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xcd65c3…ee96$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x146703…4372$3,850 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$3,535 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$2,880 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0xba559f…41f1$2,842 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins
- 0x1b73af…8688$2,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Arnaldi vs Tsitsipas odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied probability that either Matteo Arnaldi or Stefanos Tsitsipas advances in their Roland Garros ATP match. Prices can move as traders react to form, matchup news, injuries, and betting flow.
What is the smart money doing on Arnaldi vs Tsitsipas?
PolySpotter has tracked $32,670 in smart money activity and 2 signals on this event. Recent alerts include activity from a profitable serial sports bettor and a repeat whale, suggesting notable sharp interest despite the match being relatively quiet.
How does this Roland Garros prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Matteo Arnaldi if Arnaldi advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas, and to Stefanos Tsitsipas if Tsitsipas advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated resolution rules, Polymarket’s event rules apply.
When does Arnaldi vs Tsitsipas resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by June 4, 2026 at 09:00 UTC, unless the outcome is determined earlier.