Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,263.

Notable Trades

Coordinated Fritz momentum

High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided Taylor Fritz buying, a 23x volume spike, and recent price impact, though the lead wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.

Five wallets bought Taylor Fritz in the same window for $24.6k total.
Market volume is running 23x above normal, with Fritz’s price jumping 17 points in the alert window.
This bettor wins 81% of resolved markets across 984 bets, though lifetime P&L is negative.

$1,738 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 82%

5-wallet Fritz momentum

High composite alert driven by five-wallet one-sided Fritz buying, a 23x volume spike, and a 17-point price move despite the individual wallet’s weak long-term P&L.

Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $24.6K on Taylor Fritz.
Market activity spiked 23x above normal, with Fritz moving up 17 percentage points in the alert window.
Entry around 53¢ suggests the group is betting Fritz is still underpriced despite the move.

$1,500 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 57%

70% winner buying Fritz

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader sold Nishesh, equivalent to buying Taylor Fritz, alongside one-sided Fritz flow and a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades across 27,213 bets and is up $226,763 lifetime.
The trade is effectively a Taylor Fritz buy at 38¢, below the current 40–41¢ market.
Four wallets are all betting Fritz, with $8,065 in same-direction flow and a 39x volume spike.

$1,126 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp bettor flips sides

Sharp, profitable sports trader flipped from Taylor Fritz into Nishesh Basavareddy, moving the market sharply after entering around 43¢.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $60K lifetime.
They reversed a prior Taylor Fritz position and bought Nishesh around 43¢ before the price jumped to 62¢.
The market saw a 22x volume spike and a 23-point move against Fritz around these trades.

$10,693 on Nishesh Basavareddy | Wallet win rate: 83%

8-wallet sharp tennis sweep

Coordinated Basavareddy buying from 8 wallets, including a 92% winner up $270k, drove the market to 100%, though the copy entry is now likely stale.

8 wallets put $21.7k on Nishesh Basavareddy in the same direction.
One buyer wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $270k lifetime.
The move ran from roughly 48–87¢ entries to 100¢, so the edge appears largely played out now.

$21,703 on Nishesh Basavareddy

Five profitable wallets aligned

High-scoring cluster of profitable, high-volume wallets is net buying Nishesh into a major pre-match price move and volume spike.

Five wallets put about $11k on the same side, with several entries around 55–58¢ before the move to 62¢.
The bettors are seasoned and profitable, including two wallets up over $1M lifetime.
Market volume is 21.6x above normal and the price has moved about 40 points in the last day.

$10,967 on Nishesh Basavareddy

80% winner backing favorite

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% long-term win rate and $524k profit bought $5k of Taylor Fritz despite the market later moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $524k lifetime.
They are a high-volume cross-market trader with 749 events tracked and nearly $3.9M in prior activity.
They paid 80¢ for Taylor Fritz, while the market now sits near 62¢ after a sharp move down.

$5,000 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 83%

92% sports sharp

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and serial cross-market history bought Taylor Fritz despite the price now sitting below his entry.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $28.6K lifetime.
They have traded across 35 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
They bought Taylor Fritz at 81¢, while the market is now around 78–79¢.

$2,000 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $6.2M lifetime profit bought the underdog at 19¢, now trading around 22¢.

This bettor is up $6.2M lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
They have traded 293 markets across 243 events, showing a long-running cross-market sports strategy.
Entry at 19¢ on the underdog implies a high-upside position, with the market already moving to 22¢.

$1,903 on Nishesh Basavareddy | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial sports trader

Moderately interesting because a profitable high-volume serial sports trader is backing the favorite, though the edge signal is not especially strong and price has moved slightly against entry.

This bettor has a long track record: 715 resolved trades and $34.6K in profit.
They have traded across 47 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports-betting process.
Entry at 84¢ backs the clear favorite, though the market is now slightly cheaper at 82¢.

$4,440 on Taylor Fritz | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 27028098, $22,233 (65% win rate)
0xbb9b...8aed — Outcome 27028098, $12,486 (89% win rate)
0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 27028098, $11,439 (83% win rate)
0x2ee3...3a0a — Outcome 27028098, $5,642 (89% win rate)
0x625e...4de3 — Outcome 27028098, $5,200 (79% win rate)
0xf41a...ea2b — Outcome 27028098, $4,793 (63% win rate)
0x3349...c0b8 — Outcome 27028098, $4,000 (82% win rate)
0xeaf3...e802 — Outcome 27028098, $3,590 (84% win rate)
0x33c9...6f9a — Outcome 27028098, $3,303 (80% win rate)
0x3904...0caf — Outcome 27028098, $3,000 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil-Japan match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Japan-Sweden match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Several favorites could win the World Cup

Covers 7 related markets

Fed will cut rates in September

Covers 2 related markets

MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June

Covers 2 related markets

Iran avoids defeat vs New Zealand

Covers 3 related markets

Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy

ResolvedRoland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy$79,263 tracked19 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.