Part of: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,875.
Categories: Trump, putin, Ukraine Peace Deal, Geopolitics, Trump-Zelenskyy, Ukraine
Notable Trades
Sharp-led YES cluster
Three wallets are buying the same longshot Yes side, including one bettor with an 86% resolved-bet record and over $1.2M in profit.
- A bettor who has won 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.2M joined this Yes move.
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes for nearly $9.9K total.
- Average entry near 6¢ gives a large payoff if the market reprices toward ceasefire odds.
$9,875 on Yes
New linked wallet buying YES
A very new but already profitable linked wallet put $2k on the low-probability Yes side of a near-term Russia-Ukraine ceasefire market.
- This 4-day-old wallet is already up $1.9k and just put $2k on a 6¢ longshot.
- The wallet is linked to another funded account flagged in prior runs, suggesting repeat positioning.
- Entry at 6¢ implies about a 16x payout if a ceasefire is announced by May 31.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%
Top Holders
- 0x4662...bdf6 — Outcome 50296805, $26,744,228
- 0x79c5...e7da — Outcome 50296805, $10,267,124
- 0xe88a...94c5 — Outcome 50296805, $4,400,000
- 0xe698...e90f — Outcome 50296805, $3,770,098
- 0x455e...4ee9 — Outcome 50296805, $2,222,000
- 0x3748...ef32 — Outcome 50296805, $2,004,000
- 0x3aa5...bb28 — Outcome 50296805, $1,869,350
- 0x7f78...c406 — Outcome 50296805, $1,310,000
- 0x9c22...c0bf — Outcome 50296805, $1,100,000
- 0xbaed...fd99 — Outcome 50296805, $1,097,000
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