Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Sinner

This Polymarket tracks who will win the first set in the Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner match at the 2026 Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. The market resolves to Alcaraz if Carlos Alcaraz takes the opening set, or to Sinner if Jannik Sinner wins it. It is scheduled to resolve by April 19, 2026, and PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,010 in smart money activity on this market.

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 12 2026. This market will resolve to “Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sinner” if Jannik Sinner wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,010.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% win-rate tennis sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 99% win rate and strong profits is taking Sinner at roughly even odds, making this a high-signal copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 109 of 110 resolved markets and is up about $140k lifetime.
  • They often trade across related markets and have kept that 99% hit rate over 177 events.
  • Bought Sinner at 51¢, a near-even price that suggests they see clear value in this side.

$2,010 on Sinner | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x83d2...d196 Alcaraz, $10,000 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x6551...e043 Alcaraz, $7,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x9ad6...4251 Sinner, $5,118
  4. 0x3b5c...126e Sinner, $5,117 (79% win rate)
  5. 0xd3d2...fe85 Sinner, $4,245 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x57b9...d142 Sinner, $3,941 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x13f0...a50f Sinner, $2,904 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x6fc4...c89d Sinner, $2,716 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x43b1...a277 Alcaraz, $2,446
  10. 0x0997...c9f6 Sinner, $1,730

Related Theses

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Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Sinner

6d$2,010 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames
Alcaraz
0¢
Sinner
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 12 2026. This market will resolve to “Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sinner” if Jannik Sinner wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Price History — “Sinner
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Sinner

1h ago

$2,010 on Sinner at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Related Theses

Alcaraz vs Sinner Set 1 Winner Odds | PolySpotter