Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
48 signals across 5 markets · $1,121,321 tracked · resolves Apr 19, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, including match winner, first-set winner, total sets, set handicap, and first-set games over/under markets. PolySpotter has tracked over $1.1M in smart money activity and 48 signals, including sharp clusters buying Alcaraz, Sinner cluster activity, and high win-rate bettors entering the market.
Markets (5)
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner44 signals · $1,105,625 tracked
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Sinner (+1.5)1 signal · $9,743 tracked
- Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.51 signal · $2,154 tracked
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Sinner1 signal · $2,010 tracked
- Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.51 signal · $1,789 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 9-wallet sharp cluster
A 9-wallet linked cluster piled nearly $26k into Alcaraz, and several wallets in the group have unusually strong long-term records, making this coordinated contrarian buy worth watching despite the market moving against them.
$25,793Score: 26.9 - Sharp cluster buying Alcaraz
Five wallets piled into Alcaraz around 23-27¢ equivalent pricing, including two with exceptional track records, making this coordinated underdog buy flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
$14,296Score: 17.9 - 94% win-rate cluster bettor
A proven high-win-rate sports trader bought Carlos Alcaraz at 47¢ alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
$14,762Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 17.0 - 92% winner joins Sinner cluster
A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate joined a 6-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Jannik Sinner amid a major pre-match volume spike.
$1,101Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 16.4 - 98% win-rate bettor buys
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 98% win rate bought Carlos Alcaraz alongside a 20-wallet one-sided cluster during a major pre-match surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the price drifting lower after entry.
$1,427Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 15.5 - 20-wallet Alcaraz cluster
A high-volume, one-sided cluster of 20 wallets piled into Carlos Alcaraz, including a serial cross-market bettor with a 79% hit rate, making this coordinated sports flow worth tracking despite this wallet's weak standalone economics.
$1,892Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 15.5 - Sharp bettor joins 20-wallet cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 20-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Carlos Alcaraz into a major one-sided flow and price move.
$3,620Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 15.5 - Sharp bettor joins Alcaraz cluster
A proven high-win-rate bettor joined a 7-wallet $186k one-sided push into Alcaraz during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a strong sports signal worth surfacing.
$2,289Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 15.0 - New whale in 7-wallet cluster
A very new wallet with early profits joined a 7-wallet one-sided push, putting nearly $460k into Jannik Sinner at 54¢ during a huge pre-match volume spike.
$459,677Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 15.0 - 7-wallet Sinner pile-in
A brand-new wallet is betting nearly $10k into a coordinated 7-wallet push on Sinner in a thin tennis market, a pattern strong enough to surface despite no track record yet.
$9,743Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 14.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x36a3f1…fafb$730,590 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x5d58e3…9a15$57,413 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xbca1b1…dd13$27,557 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x8a3ab8…eb9a$17,010 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$15,476 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$14,762 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xad2b18…f091$14,529 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xd84949…6ac7$9,856 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x5f4d9a…0d5e$9,743 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x37e472…c991$9,633 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
FAQs
What are the Alcaraz vs Sinner prediction market odds?
The event includes odds across several Polymarket markets: outright match winner, Set 1 winner, total sets over/under 2.5, Set 1 games over/under 8.5, and set handicap. PolySpotter tracks these markets together so you can see how traders are pricing the full match, not just the winner.
What is the smart money doing on Alcaraz vs Sinner?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show significant sharp activity on both sides, including a 9-wallet sharp cluster, a sharp cluster buying Alcaraz, a 92% winner joining a Sinner cluster, and a 98% win-rate bettor buying. That suggests active professional interest rather than a quiet recreational market.
How much smart money has been tracked on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,121,321 in smart money across the Alcaraz vs Sinner event, with 48 smart money signals across the related match and prop markets.
Which Alcaraz vs Sinner markets are included in this event?
The event covers the main match winner market, Set 1 winner, total sets over/under 2.5, Set 1 games over/under 8.5, and set handicap Alcaraz -1.5 vs Sinner +1.5.
When does the Alcaraz vs Sinner market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters match on April 12 at 9:00 AM ET and resolves based on which player advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, resolution follows Polymarket’s listed conditions.