What does the Medvedev vs Tiafoe set 3 market cover?

The market resolves to Medvedev if Daniil Medvedev wins the third set and to Tiafoe if Frances Tiafoe wins the third set.

When is the Medvedev vs Tiafoe match scheduled?

The match is originally scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET as part of the US Open ATP event.

What happens if the third set is not completed?

If the match ends before the third set is reached, or set 3 is not completed with a winner, the market resolves 50-50.

What smart money activity has this market seen?

The market has $1,325 in tracked smart money and one recorded signal. The recent alert reports that a sharp bettor bought Medvedev.

When does this prediction market resolve?

The listed resolution date is September 13, 2026, at 3:00 PM UTC, subject to the market’s official resolution rules.

Part of: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe

Set 3 Winner: Medvedev vs Tiafoe

This prediction market tracks whether Daniil Medvedev or Frances Tiafoe wins the third set of their 2026 US Open ATP match, scheduled for September 6, 2026. The supplied market data does not include current odds; PolySpotter tracks live pricing and smart money activity, including a recent Medvedev buy signal. If set 3 is not completed with a winner, the market resolves 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,325.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buys Medvedev

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate and meaningful edge placed a large fresh bet in a thin tennis market.

This bettor wins 81% of 2,661 resolved trades and is up $6.25 million lifetime.
The $1,325 bet was over six times the market's recent volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
The trader has participated across 746 events while outperforming their average implied odds by 18%.

$1,325 on Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 78480930, $2,410 (81% win rate)
0x81bb...f1f9 — Outcome 78480930, $477 (78% win rate)
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 78480930, $441 (71% win rate)
0x8492...f17c — Outcome 78480930, $363 (84% win rate)
0x1ca3...9613 — Outcome 78480930, $82 (79% win rate)
0x17ef...9a2c — Outcome 78480930, $73
0x5db5...1089 — Outcome 78480930, $68
0x1a1e...f992 — Outcome 78480930, $38
0x0d10...780b — Outcome 78480930, $18
0x5e50...c665 — Outcome 78480930, $17

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Set 3 Winner: Medvedev vs Tiafoe

1dUS Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe$1,325 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins set 3. It will resolve to “Tiafoe” if Frances Tiafoe wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.