Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli

Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

This Polymarket tennis market covers the set handicap for Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Arnaldi at Roland Garros ATP: Cobolli must win by 2 or more sets for the “Cobolli” side to win, while “Arnaldi” wins if he stays within +1.5 sets or wins outright. The market is scheduled to resolve by June 12, 2026, with $3,398 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently flagged.

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cobolli" if Flavio Cobolli wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,204.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new tennis whale

A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is buying Cobolli at 55¢ in a tennis handicap market, suggesting informed sports conviction despite a short track record.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already made 6 flagged large bets and is up $2,864.
  • The bettor is 3-for-3 on resolved trades so far, turning $7,546 invested into early profit.
  • A $3,398 buy at 55¢ shows fresh conviction on Cobolli covering the set handicap.

$3,398 on Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 100%

90% winner backs underdog handicap

Elite profitable sports bettor bought $11.5k of Arnaldi on a relatively quiet tennis handicap market, backed by a 90% historical win rate and strong cross-market record.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • The $11.5k Arnaldi buy is larger than the market’s entire recent daily volume.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 120 events with the same 90% win rate.

$11,500 on Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 90%

Million-profit bettor buying handicap

A highly profitable high-volume wallet bought Cobolli at 54¢ amid a sharp pre-event volume spike in a relatively small tennis handicap market.

  • This bettor is up $996k lifetime across 724 resolved markets.
  • Their $2.3k buy is a large share of recent volume as activity spiked before the match.
  • Entry at 54¢ suggests they see Cobolli covering the set handicap as mispriced.

$2,306 on Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 53%

90% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with a 90% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $3,000 of Cobolli -1.5 at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $277,646 lifetime.
  • They have traded 195 events across 213 markets with the same 90% hit rate.
  • A $3,000 buy at 53¢ is meaningful in a market with only $6,737 traded in the last 24 hours.

$3,000 on Cobolli | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe5ef...9e7a Cobolli, $45,000 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x9c76...c926 Arnaldi, $26,861 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xd6ce...7ec8 Arnaldi, $9,000 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x6157...9fb4 Cobolli, $5,712 (90% win rate)
  5. 0x336b...1233 Arnaldi, $4,643 (46% win rate)
  6. 0x4379...2e16 Arnaldi, $3,080 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x5e30...acbf Arnaldi, $2,423 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x36b4...d723 Cobolli, $2,000
  9. 0x459e...7dd1 Arnaldi, $1,791 (60% win rate)
  10. 0x502e...5442 Arnaldi, $1,630 (92% win rate)

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Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

6dRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli$20,204 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames
Cobolli
51¢
Arnaldi
50¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Cobolli" if Flavio Cobolli wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Price History — “Cobolli
56¢
53¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

1h ago

$3,398 on Cobolli at 55¢

55¢51¢4¢

Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

1h ago

$11,500 on Arnaldi at 46¢

46¢50¢4¢

Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

1h ago

$2,306 on Cobolli at 54¢

54¢51¢3¢

Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

1h ago

$3,000 on Cobolli at 53¢

53¢51¢2¢

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