Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar

Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

This Polymarket-style tennis market tracks the set handicap for Rafael Jodar vs Matteo Arnaldi at the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, with Jodar needing to win by 2 or more sets for the Jodar side to cash. The market resolves by the final completed match score, with resolution scheduled for May 17, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,550 in smart money activity from 1 signal.

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Matteo Arnaldi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,550.

Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis

Notable Trades

85% winner fading move

Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% historical win rate bought Arnaldi +1.5 at 50¢ despite the market now pricing it around 30¢.

  • This bettor has won 85% of resolved bets and is up about $9.7K lifetime.
  • They bought Arnaldi +1.5 at 50¢ while the market now shows around 30¢, a clear contrarian position.
  • Their past wins came at roughly coin-flip prices, suggesting they have beaten market odds before.

$1,550 on Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdf0d...9f79 — Arnaldi, $3,000 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x02d8...0c91 — Jodar, $2,304 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x4738...4687 — Jodar, $2,084 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x698b...4426 — Arnaldi, $2,000 (51% win rate)
  5. 0xafe6...8192 — Jodar, $1,922 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x9c76...c926 — Jodar, $1,607 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xfc37...fdf4 — Arnaldi, $1,262
  8. 0x01ed...ca5f — Arnaldi, $1,129
  9. 0x1cff...6cff — Arnaldi, $1,001
  10. 0x4411...985e — Jodar, $684

Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

6dInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar$1,550 tracked1 signalSportsGamesTennis
Jodar
0¢
Arnaldi
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Matteo Arnaldi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jodar" if Rafael Jodar wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Price History — “Arnaldi”
102¢
73¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

4h ago

$1,550 on Arnaldi at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢