Part of: US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Aguilar (+2.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 3 or more sets than Daniel Merida Aguilar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Michelsen can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,850.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader buys Aguilar

A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial proven edge made a concentrated $3,850 bet on Aguilar in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 340 resolved trades and is up nearly $977,000.
  • They placed a concentrated $3,850 bet on Aguilar in a market with only $5,006 total volume.
  • The 285-event cross-market track record supports this as a researched directional position, despite the price already implying a 76% chance.

$3,850 on Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 81%

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Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Aguilar (+2.5)

US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$3,850 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames
Michelsen
100¢
Aguilar
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Michelsen" if Alex Michelsen wins by 3 or more sets than Daniel Merida Aguilar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Michelsen can no longer win by 3 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Aguilar (+2.5)

2026-09-04 15:10 UTC

$3,850 on Aguilar at 77¢

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