Part of: US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Aguilar (+2.5)
This prediction market covers the US Open ATP match between Alex Michelsen and Daniel Merida Aguilar, using a -2.5 set handicap for Michelsen and +2.5 for Aguilar. Michelsen wins the market if he finishes at least three sets ahead; otherwise, Aguilar wins. The market is scheduled to resolve by September 11, 2026, and has recorded one smart money signal, with a sharp serial trader buying Aguilar.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,850.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp serial trader buys Aguilar
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial proven edge made a concentrated $3,850 bet on Aguilar in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 82% of 340 resolved trades and is up nearly $977,000.
- They placed a concentrated $3,850 bet on Aguilar in a market with only $5,006 total volume.
- The 285-event cross-market track record supports this as a researched directional position, despite the price already implying a 76% chance.
$3,850 on Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x0353...c2ff — Outcome 30964401, $5,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xe559...c672 — Outcome 30964401, $8
- 0x8fdf...af9e — Outcome 30964401, $6
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